Active Polymarket Markets
Усі активні ринки з локальної бази, відсортовані за загальним торговим обсягом (`volume`) у спадному порядку.
22,261 markets
Prices last updated: 2026-03-03 22:50 UTC
| #?Позиція ринку в поточному сортуванні. | Market?Текст питання ринку та пов'язана подія. | Categories?Нормалізовані категорії події: category, subcategory і tags. | Yes?Поточна implied probability для outcome Yes. | No?Поточна implied probability для outcome No. | 2m Change?Зміна midpoint-ціни відносно snapshot, найближчого до точки 2 хвилини тому, зменшена на поточний спред: sign(delta) * max(|delta| - spread, 0). | 10m Change?Зміна midpoint-ціни відносно snapshot, найближчого до точки 10 хвилин тому, зменшена на поточний спред: sign(delta) * max(|delta| - spread, 0). | 1h Change?Зміна midpoint-ціни відносно snapshot, найближчого до точки 1 годину тому, зменшена на поточний спред: sign(delta) * max(|delta| - spread, 0). | 5h Change?Зміна midpoint-ціни відносно snapshot, найближчого до точки 5 годин тому, зменшена на поточний спред: sign(delta) * max(|delta| - spread, 0). | Spread?Поточний спред: best ask - best bid. Якщо bid/ask немає, показується 0. | End Date?Дата завершення ринку за даними Polymarket. | Volume ↓?Загальний торговий обсяг. | 24h Volume?Обсяг торгів за останні 24 години. | Liquidity?Поточна доступна ліквідність ринку. | Last Trade?Остання зафіксована ціна угоди. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 401 |
Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
|
Trump-Machado / Venezuela / Trump / Politics / Geopolitics | 0.001 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2026-12-31 | 1,303,997.295 | 4,000 | 58,142.788 | 0.001 |
| 402 |
Will Lương Cường be the next President of Vietnam?
|
Global Elections / Vietnam / Elections / Politics / presidential | 0.001 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2026-01-25 | 1,299,580.465 | 5,924.415 | 44,847.141 | 0.002 |
| 403 |
Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?
|
Crypto / Pre-Market / Based / Token Sales / fdv | 0.034 | 0.967 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.009 | 2027-01-01 | 1,297,737.59 | 80.79 | 36,932.457 | 0.038 |
| 404 |
Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
|
Awards / Movies / Culture / Oscars | 0.004 | 0.996 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-03-15 | 1,289,903.998 | 22,203.85 | 91,914.495 | 0.005 |
| 405 |
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
|
Sports / Formula 1 / f1 | 0.092 | 0.908 | 0 | 0 | +0.004 | +0.005 | 0.002 | 2026-12-06 | 1,271,752.358 | 85,681.945 | 46,706.479 | 0.09 |
| 406 |
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
|
World Elections / Global Elections / US Election / Elections / Politics | 0.019 | 0.981 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2028-11-07 | 1,264,646.87 | 18,316.178 | 524,794.813 | 0.019 |
| 407 |
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
|
Geopolitics / Politics / Trump / Middle East / Iran | 0.235 | 0.765 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | - | 1,254,313.46 | 655,273.868 | 133,088.808 | 0.24 |
| 408 |
Will Jason Day win the 2026 Masters tournament?
|
Sports / Golf / PGA TOUR / The Masters | 0.012 | 0.988 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.001 | 0.002 | 2026-04-13 | 1,250,250.756 | 42,332.951 | 9,648.874 | 0.012 |
| 409 |
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
|
Politics / US Election / Elections / World Elections / Global Elections | 0.018 | 0.982 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.002 | 2028-11-07 | 1,245,680.708 | 200,462.74 | 207,166.143 | 0.017 |
| 410 |
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
|
Crypto / Pre-Market / fdv | 0.678 | 0.322 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.006 | 2027-01-01 | 1,237,008.688 | 52,207.097 | 34,610.724 | 0.68 |
| 411 |
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
|
World Elections / Global Elections / US Election / Elections / Politics | 0.009 | 0.991 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2028-11-07 | 1,224,621.46 | 74,870.19 | 794,482.047 | 0.009 |
| 412 |
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?
|
Trump Presidency / US-Iran / Iran / Israel / Middle East | 0.027 | 0.973 | 0 | 0 | -0.001 | 0 | 0.002 | 2026-12-31 | 1,219,950.364 | 190,346.682 | 96,249.447 | 0.028 |
| 413 |
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
|
Awards / Politics / Geopolitics / World | 0.024 | 0.977 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-10-10 | 1,215,497.918 | 78,476.357 | 43,260.892 | 0.022 |
| 414 |
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
|
Politics / US Election / Elections / Primaries / Parent For Derivative | 0.005 | 0.995 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.006 | 2026-03-03 | 1,209,600.652 | 70,571.08 | 34,805.252 | 0.002 |
| 415 |
US strike on Mexico by March 31?
|
Politics / Trump / Venezuela / Geopolitics / Foreign Policy | 0.048 | 0.952 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.003 | 0.004 | 2026-12-31 | 1,180,207.653 | 12,295.795 | 44,187.621 | 0.049 |
| 416 |
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
|
Politics / Greenland / Denmark / Geopolitics / Trump | 0.065 | 0.935 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 2026-12-31 | 1,169,300.112 | 3,340.361 | 83,783.87 | 0.07 |
| 417 |
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-03?
|
Sports / Games / Soccer / Copa Del Rey | 1 | 0.001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.314 | 0.001 | 2026-03-03 | 1,164,072.942 | 205,361.951 | 704,735.631 | 0.999 |
| 418 |
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
|
Trump / Geopolitics / Iran / Military Strikes | 0.265 | 0.735 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 2026-03-01 | 1,157,357.523 | 248,594.222 | 85,177.167 | 0.27 |
| 419 |
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?
|
World / World Elections / Elections / Global Elections / Hungary | 0.002 | 0.999 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-04-12 | 1,149,667.781 | 37,175.585 | 183,659.462 | 0.001 |
| 420 |
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
|
Geopolitics / Politics / Trump / Middle East / Iran | 0.415 | 0.585 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | - | 1,146,225.576 | 396,206.641 | 113,562.171 | 0.41 |
| 421 |
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
|
Politics / Elections / US Election / Primaries / primary elections | 0.74 | 0.26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 2026-07-31 | 1,136,151.179 | 20,079.303 | 50,052.308 | 0.74 |
| 422 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
|
Economic Policy / Economy / Jerome Powell / Fed / Fed Rates | 0.015 | 0.985 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.001 | 0.001 | 2026-04-29 | 1,132,631.614 | 34,071.884 | 164,721.451 | 0.016 |
| 423 |
Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?
|
Tennis / Sports / WTA | 0.972 | 0.029 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.003 | 2026-12-31 | 1,124,320.189 | 167.537 | 352,271.624 | 0.973 |
| 424 |
Will the Chicago Blackhawks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
|
Sports / Hockey / NHL / Stanley Cup | 0.003 | 0.998 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-06-30 | 1,121,785.467 | 1,588.378 | 171,080.136 | 0.002 |
| 425 |
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027?
|
Tech / Prediction Markets / Business / Finance / Big Tech | 0.49 | 0.51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | 2026-12-31 | 1,120,972.616 | 12,162.604 | 4,070.898 | 0.49 |
| 426 |
Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?
|
Crypto / opinion / Pre-Market / token launch | 0.999 | 0.002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2027-01-01 | 1,116,090.564 | 158,172.978 | 130,616.778 | 0.999 |
| 427 |
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
|
Trump-Machado / Venezuela / Trump / Politics / Geopolitics | 0.017 | 0.984 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.001 | 0.001 | 2026-12-31 | 1,111,991.153 | 1,678.788 | 38,191.814 | 0.016 |
| 428 |
Will The Secret Agent win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
|
Awards / Movies / Culture / Oscars | 0.004 | 0.996 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-03-15 | 1,110,818.723 | 58,992.892 | 110,440.096 | 0.004 |
| 429 |
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
|
Ukraine / World / Politics / Foreign Policy / Geopolitics | 0.036 | 0.964 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.003 | 2026-12-31 | 1,101,101.787 | 572.367 | 26,718.241 | 0.038 |
| 430 |
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
|
Starmer / uk / keir / Grooming Gangs / Politics | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 2026-06-30 | 1,097,994.93 | 4,409.206 | 35,652.34 | 0.51 |
| 431 |
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-03-03?
|
Sports / Premier League / EPL / Games / Soccer | 0.001 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.525 | 0 | 2026-03-03 | 1,085,972.565 | 543,653.086 | 589,625.681 | 0.001 |
| 432 |
Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
|
Sports / NBA / mvp / Awards / Hide From New | 0.004 | 0.997 | -0.001 | -0.001 | -0.001 | -0.001 | 0.001 | 2026-06-10 | 1,073,464.839 | 28,063.981 | 93,260.606 | 0.003 |
| 433 |
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?
|
Trump / putin / Politics / Geopolitics / Ukraine | 0.025 | 0.975 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.006 | - | 1,071,309.529 | 3,819.686 | 19,657.495 | 0.021 |
| 434 |
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
|
Trump-Machado / Venezuela / Trump / Politics / Geopolitics | 0.595 | 0.405 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 2026-12-31 | 1,070,725.027 | 9,423.389 | 56,003.307 | 0.61 |
| 435 |
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
|
Politics / Geopolitics / Lebanon / World / Israel | 0.755 | 0.245 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 2026-03-31 | 1,055,249.321 | 688,707.297 | 532,215.583 | 0.75 |
| 436 |
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
|
Trump Presidency / Trump / Politics / China / TikTok | 0.534 | 0.466 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.047 | 0.009 | 2025-10-31 | 1,053,069.826 | 55,080.836 | 19,046.957 | 0.53 |
| 437 |
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?
|
World / mexico / Venezuela / Politics / Trump | 0.055 | 0.945 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 2026-03-31 | 1,045,467.885 | 4,613.757 | 34,613.664 | 0.05 |
| 438 |
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?
|
Finance / IPOs / OpenAI / AI / Tech | 0.435 | 0.565 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 2027-12-31 | 1,023,617.413 | 430.426 | 3,067.954 | 0.44 |
| 439 |
Will Everton FC win on 2026-03-03?
|
Sports / Premier League / EPL / Games / Soccer | 1 | 0.001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.404 | 0.001 | 2026-03-03 | 1,021,698.903 | 200,677.609 | 637,792.827 | 0.999 |
| 440 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
|
World Elections / Elections / Global Elections / putin / russia | 0.775 | 0.225 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 2026-09-30 | 1,021,283.974 | 4,645.081 | 39,750.046 | 0.77 |
| 441 |
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
|
Sports / NBA / Hide From New | 0.034 | 0.966 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.002 | 0.002 | 2026-06-16 | 1,017,738.221 | 82,153.125 | 52,596.191 | 0.03 |
| 442 |
Will Trần Thanh Mẫn be the next President of Vietnam?
|
Global Elections / Vietnam / Elections / Politics / presidential | 0.096 | 0.904 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.017 | 2026-01-25 | 1,012,033.44 | 131,448.726 | 27,145.235 | 0.096 |
| 443 |
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?
|
opinion / Pre-Market / fdv / Crypto | 0.935 | 0.065 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 2027-01-01 | 1,002,093.219 | 61,691.659 | 169,765.174 | 0.94 |
| 444 |
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy
|
Bitcoin / Crypto / Business / Finance / Parlays | 0.845 | 0.155 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.01 | 0.01 | 2026-03-31 | 996,085.626 | 33,541.544 | 54,842.861 | 0.86 |
| 445 |
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?
|
Crypto / Pre-Market / fdv | 0.635 | 0.365 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 2027-01-01 | 991,632.321 | 2,784.87 | 20,654.997 | 0.64 |
| 446 |
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
|
Politics / World / taiwan / Foreign Policy / China | 0.155 | 0.845 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 2026-12-31 | 983,513.128 | 21,348.824 | 120,458.315 | 0.15 |
| 447 |
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?
|
Crypto / Pre-Market / token launch | 0.155 | 0.845 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 2026-07-01 | 982,049.674 | 6,894.154 | 6,776.468 | 0.16 |
| 448 |
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
|
Sports / Formula 1 / f1 | 0.005 | 0.995 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-12-06 | 975,707.882 | 6,500.091 | 48,176.883 | 0.006 |
| 449 |
Will Kawhi Leonard win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
|
Sports / NBA / mvp / Awards / Hide From New | 0.001 | 0.999 | +0.001 | +0.001 | +0.001 | +0.001 | 0 | 2026-06-10 | 972,039.247 | 22,680 | 50,107.755 | 0.001 |
| 450 |
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?
|
Davos / Politics / nato / World / Geopolitics | 0.028 | 0.973 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-03-31 | 971,954.567 | 5,950.609 | 24,621.644 | 0.027 |
| 451 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
|
Economic Policy / Economy / Jerome Powell / Fed / Fed Rates | 0.115 | 0.885 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 2026-04-29 | 962,317.498 | 52,552.852 | 132,133.394 | 0.11 |
| 452 |
Will the Vancouver Canucks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
|
Sports / Hockey / NHL / Stanley Cup | 0.003 | 0.998 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-06-30 | 958,797.805 | 27,606.586 | 105,776.982 | 0.002 |
| 453 |
Will Gustavo Bolívar win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
|
Politics / Global Elections / Elections / World / World Elections | 0.002 | 0.999 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-06-21 | 953,075.464 | 5,683.086 | 63,721.741 | 0.001 |
| 454 |
Will Tyrese Maxey win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
|
Sports / NBA / mvp / Awards / Hide From New | 0.003 | 0.997 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.002 | 2026-06-10 | 952,177.09 | 2,448.409 | 155,514.067 | 0.002 |
| 455 |
Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?
|
Vietnam / Elections / Global Elections / World / Politics | 0.848 | 0.152 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.005 | 2026-01-25 | 951,774.382 | 6,718.518 | 61,133.986 | 0.845 |
| 456 |
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
|
World / China / Geopolitics / Politics | 0.06 | 0.94 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.002 | 2026-06-30 | 941,676.683 | 54,518.161 | 97,479.519 | 0.061 |
| 457 |
Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?
|
Sports / NBA / Hide From New | 0.019 | 0.981 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.002 | 2026-06-13 | 937,679.355 | 23,639.426 | 70,350.915 | 0.018 |
| 458 |
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
|
Business / Fed Rates / Jerome Powell / Economic Policy / Fed | 0.028 | 0.973 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-12-31 | 932,707.33 | 77,986.392 | 60,428.457 | 0.027 |
| 459 |
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?
|
Politics / Iran / Geopolitics / Israel / Middle East | 0.205 | 0.795 | 0 | 0 | -0.01 | +0.04 | 0.01 | 2026-03-07 | 928,447.096 | 148,385.869 | 22,960.094 | 0.2 |
| 460 |
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?
|
Crypto / MicroStrategy | 0.011 | 0.99 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-04-01 | 920,967.369 | 697.573 | 16,340.542 | 0.013 |
| 461 |
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
|
Sports / NBA / mvp / Awards / Hide From New | 0.001 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2026-06-10 | 917,940.766 | 93,646.64 | 114,547.165 | 0.001 |
| 462 |
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?
|
Politics / Prediction Markets / legal / Tech / Courts | 0.26 | 0.74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | 2026-07-31 | 912,440.017 | 752.845 | 3,994.964 | 0.26 |
| 463 |
Will Kevin Durant win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
|
Sports / NBA / mvp / Awards / Hide From New | 0.001 | 0.999 | +0.001 | +0.001 | +0.001 | +0.001 | 0 | 2026-06-10 | 910,015.719 | 43,037.87 | 63,161.067 | 0.001 |
| 464 |
Will Anthony Davis win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
|
Sports / NBA / mvp / Awards / Hide From New | 0.001 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2026-06-10 | 909,800.501 | 2,000 | 33,823.666 | 0.001 |
| 465 |
Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?
|
opinion / Pre-Market / fdv / Crypto | 0.006 | 0.994 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.002 | 2027-01-01 | 902,721.337 | 20,075.131 | 25,115.218 | 0.005 |
| 466 |
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
|
Sports / Formula 1 / f1 | 0.145 | 0.855 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.003 | 0.001 | 2026-12-06 | 897,698.783 | 9,536.321 | 44,157.192 | 0.145 |
| 467 |
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-03-03?
|
Sports / Premier League / EPL / Games / Soccer | 1 | 0.001 | 0 | 0 | +0.914 | +0.854 | 0.001 | 2026-03-03 | 892,563.406 | 84,383.497 | 1,183,227.12 | 0.999 |
| 468 |
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?
|
Tech / Prediction Markets / Business / Finance / Big Tech | 0.275 | 0.725 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | 2026-12-31 | 891,251.347 | 124.994 | 1,705.513 | 0.27 |
| 469 |
Will the Calgary Flames win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
|
Sports / Hockey / NHL / Stanley Cup | 0.003 | 0.998 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-06-30 | 879,413.69 | 3,021.314 | 86,654.547 | 0.002 |
| 470 |
Will Trần Cẩm Tú be the next President of Vietnam?
|
Global Elections / Vietnam / Elections / Politics / presidential | 0.009 | 0.991 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.004 | 2026-01-25 | 875,619.631 | 54,630.961 | 46,149.53 | 0.01 |
| 471 |
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
|
Politics / Israel / Iran / Geopolitics / Military Strikes | 0.735 | 0.265 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.04 | 0.01 | 2026-03-31 | 874,896.785 | 226,845.072 | 42,273.062 | 0.73 |
| 472 |
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?
|
Foreign Policy / Iran / World / Politics / Israel | 0.675 | 0.325 | 0 | 0 | +0.002 | -0.045 | 0.006 | 2026-12-31 | 869,493.394 | 242,255.975 | 30,794.943 | 0.679 |
| 473 |
Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?
|
Crypto / Pre-Market / fdv | 0.009 | 0.991 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.003 | 2027-01-01 | 869,074.24 | 408.22 | 5,788.588 | 0.025 |
| 474 |
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?
|
Sports / Premier League / EPL / Games / Soccer | 0.001 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -0.51 | -0.205 | 0 | 2026-03-03 | 855,391.692 | 21,800.449 | 612,396.087 | 0.001 |
| 475 |
Will Opinion launch a token by June 30, 2026?
|
Crypto / opinion / Pre-Market / token launch | 1 | 0.001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2027-01-01 | 853,694.242 | 17,124.62 | 127,148.181 | 0.999 |
| 476 |
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
|
Bitcoin / Yearly / Hit Price / Crypto Prices / Crypto | 0.355 | 0.645 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.005 | 0.01 | 2027-01-01 | 850,658.805 | 7,544.423 | 100,505.15 | 0.35 |
| 477 |
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
|
Foreign Policy / Iran / World / Politics / Israel | 0.646 | 0.354 | 0 | 0 | -0.017 | -0.028 | 0.002 | 2026-06-30 | 848,886.602 | 329,108.644 | 31,868.184 | 0.647 |
| 478 |
Will BP be acquired before 2027?
|
Tech / Prediction Markets / Business / Finance / Big Tech | 0.265 | 0.735 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.015 | 0.03 | 2026-12-31 | 840,107.267 | 53,121.51 | 2,402.692 | 0.27 |
| 479 |
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?
|
Geopolitics / Iran / Middle East / World / Regional Spillover | 0.48 | 0.52 | 0 | 0 | -0.015 | -0.11 | 0.02 | 2026-03-07 | 834,107.329 | 311,601.538 | 20,517.05 | 0.46 |
| 480 |
Will Phan Văn Giang be the next President of Vietnam?
|
Global Elections / Vietnam / Elections / Politics / presidential | 0.025 | 0.975 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.005 | 2026-01-25 | 833,215.409 | 2,888.809 | 43,435.167 | 0.024 |
| 481 |
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
|
Sports / NBA / mvp / Awards / Hide From New | 0.001 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2026-06-10 | 831,577.925 | 2,000 | 67,453.589 | 0.001 |
| 482 |
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?
|
AI / Tech / Claude 5 | 0.055 | 0.945 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.006 | - | 828,331.505 | 5,437.488 | 50,871.12 | 0.059 |
| 483 |
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
|
Economy / Big Tech / Tech / Finance / Business | 0.002 | 0.999 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-03-31 | 823,697.988 | 61,512.879 | 144,405.859 | 0.001 |
| 484 |
Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 30% by March 31?
|
Derivatives / Trump / Denmark / Greenland / Geopolitics | 0.016 | 0.984 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.002 | 2026-03-31 | 805,248.915 | 11,052.053 | 26,005.739 | 0.015 |
| 485 |
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
|
US Election / Elections / Politics / Global Elections / Earn 4% | 0.455 | 0.545 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 2028-11-07 | 803,976.792 | 1,085.472 | 334,543.681 | 0.46 |
| 486 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?
|
Bitcoin / Monthly / Hit Price / Crypto / Crypto Prices | 0.735 | 0.266 | 0 | 0 | -0.02 | -0.008 | 0.003 | 2026-04-01 | 801,456.639 | 236,392.591 | 91,982.546 | 0.739 |
| 487 |
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
|
Politics / US Election / Elections / Global Elections / Midterms | 0.395 | 0.605 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 2026-11-03 | 789,511.425 | 136,095.4 | 78,968 | 0.39 |
| 488 |
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
|
Economy / Big Tech / Tech / Finance / Business | 0.002 | 0.999 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-03-31 | 788,082.262 | 101,972.285 | 199,642.254 | 0.001 |
| 489 |
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
|
Sports / Formula 1 / f1 | 0.003 | 0.998 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-12-06 | 785,781.306 | 34,305.337 | 169,265.763 | 0.002 |
| 490 |
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?
|
Crypto / Pre-Market / Backpack / Token Sales / fdv | 0.135 | 0.865 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 2027-01-01 | 784,278.923 | 4,169.675 | 47,534.426 | 0.14 |
| 491 |
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?
|
Ukraine / Politics / World / Geopolitics / Russia Capture | 0.23 | 0.77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 2026-03-31 | 776,064.328 | 13,209.584 | 24,729.047 | 0.21 |
| 492 |
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
|
Trump-Machado / Venezuela / Trump / Politics / Geopolitics | 0.16 | 0.84 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 2026-12-31 | 775,333.51 | 1,355.841 | 31,352.868 | 0.17 |
| 493 |
Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?
|
Politics / Trump / Venezuela / Geopolitics | 0.02 | 0.98 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.003 | 0.004 | 2026-03-31 | 775,072.685 | 4,004.366 | 21,055.292 | 0.019 |
| 494 |
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
|
Trump-Machado / Venezuela / Trump / Politics / Geopolitics | 0.009 | 0.992 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.005 | 2026-12-31 | 771,284.1 | 589.136 | 30,251.905 | 0.006 |
| 495 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
|
Economic Policy / Economy / Jerome Powell / Fed / Fed Rates | 0.85 | 0.15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 2026-04-29 | 767,683.476 | 21,354.833 | 80,982.659 | 0.85 |
| 496 |
Will the Nashville Predators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
|
Sports / Hockey / NHL / Stanley Cup | 0.004 | 0.997 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-06-30 | 767,316.453 | 10,951.235 | 108,246.001 | 0.003 |
| 497 |
Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win 180 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
|
World / Thailand Election / Elections / Thailand / Global Elections | 0.008 | 0.992 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.004 | 2026-02-08 | 764,297.621 | 2,136.35 | 9,654.296 | 0.006 |
| 498 |
Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch?
|
Crypto / Pre-Market / fdv | 0.04 | 0.961 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.002 | 0.009 | 2027-01-01 | 751,013.841 | 822.7 | 16,046.403 | 0.042 |
| 499 |
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?
|
Crypto / Pre-Market / Metamask / Token Sales / fdv | 0.422 | 0.578 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.028 | 2027-01-01 | 741,356.048 | 2,628.583 | 13,810.688 | 0.403 |
| 500 |
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
|
Middle East / World / Iran / Israel / Politics | 0.31 | 0.69 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 2026-06-30 | 738,874.137 | 21,846.367 | 19,952.467 | 0.32 |