Active Polymarket Markets
Усі активні ринки з локальної бази, відсортовані за загальним торговим обсягом (`volume`) у спадному порядку.
22,153 markets
Prices last updated: 2026-03-03 20:56 UTC
| #?Позиція ринку в поточному сортуванні. | Market?Текст питання ринку та пов'язана подія. | Categories?Нормалізовані категорії події: category, subcategory і tags. | Yes?Поточна implied probability для outcome Yes. | No?Поточна implied probability для outcome No. | 2m Change?Зміна midpoint-ціни відносно snapshot, найближчого до точки 2 хвилини тому, зменшена на поточний спред: sign(delta) * max(|delta| - spread, 0). | 10m Change?Зміна midpoint-ціни відносно snapshot, найближчого до точки 10 хвилин тому, зменшена на поточний спред: sign(delta) * max(|delta| - spread, 0). | 1h Change?Зміна midpoint-ціни відносно snapshot, найближчого до точки 1 годину тому, зменшена на поточний спред: sign(delta) * max(|delta| - spread, 0). | 5h Change?Зміна midpoint-ціни відносно snapshot, найближчого до точки 5 годин тому, зменшена на поточний спред: sign(delta) * max(|delta| - spread, 0). | Spread?Поточний спред: best ask - best bid. Якщо bid/ask немає, показується 0. | End Date?Дата завершення ринку за даними Polymarket. | Volume ↓?Загальний торговий обсяг. | 24h Volume?Обсяг торгів за останні 24 години. | Liquidity?Поточна доступна ліквідність ринку. | Last Trade?Остання зафіксована ціна угоди. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 201 |
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
World Elections / Global Elections / Elections / Politics / US Election | 0.085 | 0.915 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.002 | 2028-11-07 | 5,069,151.955 | 41,729.657 | 364,077.264 | 0.085 |
| 202 |
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
|
Soccer / Sports / FIFA World Cup / 2026 FIFA World Cup / Hide From New | 0.004 | 0.996 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-07-20 | 5,063,840.517 | 114,169.014 | 1,299,785.094 | 0.004 |
| 203 |
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
|
Soccer / Sports / FIFA World Cup / 2026 FIFA World Cup / Hide From New | 0.002 | 0.999 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-07-20 | 5,056,945.089 | 61,355.593 | 1,452,785.643 | 0.001 |
| 204 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
|
World Elections / Global Elections / US Election / Elections / Politics | 0.033 | 0.967 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.002 | 2028-11-07 | 5,047,605.581 | 39,755.523 | 190,291.746 | 0.032 |
| 205 |
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
|
Soccer / Sports / FIFA World Cup / 2026 FIFA World Cup / Hide From New | 0.006 | 0.994 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-07-20 | 5,046,745.425 | 66,526.128 | 1,064,102.58 | 0.006 |
| 206 |
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
|
Soccer / Sports / FIFA World Cup / 2026 FIFA World Cup / Hide From New | 0.031 | 0.969 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.002 | 2026-07-20 | 5,036,897.343 | 100,478.503 | 459,507.591 | 0.032 |
| 207 |
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
|
Soccer / Sports / FIFA World Cup / 2026 FIFA World Cup / Hide From New | 0.015 | 0.985 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-07-20 | 5,014,328.279 | 39,970.886 | 537,473.607 | 0.015 |
| 208 |
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
|
Soccer / Sports / FIFA World Cup / 2026 FIFA World Cup / Hide From New | 0.011 | 0.99 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-07-20 | 4,907,565.637 | 46,985.153 | 833,523.092 | 0.01 |
| 209 |
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
World Elections / Global Elections / Elections / Politics / US Election | 0.042 | 0.959 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2028-11-07 | 4,903,149.099 | 51,205.383 | 531,375.816 | 0.04 |
| 210 |
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
World Elections / Global Elections / Elections / Politics / US Election | 0.025 | 0.976 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.001 | 0.001 | 2028-11-07 | 4,882,751.882 | 18,538.186 | 624,471.811 | 0.024 |
| 211 |
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
|
Politics / US Election / Elections / World Elections / Global Elections | 0.013 | 0.988 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2028-11-07 | 4,881,751.545 | 4,105.523 | 352,363.378 | 0.012 |
| 212 |
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
|
Soccer / Sports / FIFA World Cup / 2026 FIFA World Cup / Hide From New | 0.003 | 0.998 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-07-20 | 4,839,113.17 | 207,671.445 | 1,197,712.137 | 0.002 |
| 213 |
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
|
World Elections / Global Elections / US Election / Elections / Politics | 0.025 | 0.976 | 0 | 0 | -0.001 | 0 | 0.001 | 2028-11-07 | 4,829,804.498 | 40,576.239 | 265,332.54 | 0.025 |
| 214 |
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
|
Foreign Policy / Geopolitics / Earn 4% / China / World | 0.017 | 0.984 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.003 | 2026-03-31 | 4,804,288.002 | 299,874.484 | 160,485.705 | 0.012 |
| 215 |
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
|
Politics / US Election / Elections / World Elections / Global Elections | 0.419 | 0.581 | 0 | 0 | +0.003 | -0.002 | 0.002 | 2028-11-07 | 4,791,588.824 | 56,561.686 | 245,258.842 | 0.419 |
| 216 |
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
World Elections / Global Elections / Elections / Politics / US Election | 0.043 | 0.957 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2028-11-07 | 4,787,898.665 | 31,277.436 | 333,259.401 | 0.042 |
| 217 |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
|
Politics / US Election / Elections / World Elections / Global Elections | 0.185 | 0.815 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.005 | 0.002 | 2028-11-07 | 4,760,338.263 | 21,520.193 | 136,355.47 | 0.185 |
| 218 |
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
|
Soccer / Sports / FIFA World Cup / 2026 FIFA World Cup / Hide From New | 0.007 | 0.993 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-07-20 | 4,733,227.646 | 85,341.259 | 757,495.597 | 0.007 |
| 219 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
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World Elections / Global Elections / US Election / Elections / Politics | 0.166 | 0.834 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.002 | 2028-11-07 | 4,732,514.545 | 30,795.687 | 338,093.796 | 0.165 |
| 220 |
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
|
Sports / NBA / NBA Finals / Basketball / NBA Champion | 0.122 | 0.878 | 0 | 0 | -0.005 | -0.003 | 0.002 | 2026-07-01 | 4,661,616.329 | 69,336.326 | 230,535.858 | 0.122 |
| 221 |
Will Devin Booker win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
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Sports / NBA / mvp / Awards / Hide From New | 0.001 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2026-06-10 | 4,661,612.697 | 1,000 | 128,492.882 | 0.001 |
| 222 |
Will Betis win the 2025–26 La Liga?
|
Sports / Soccer / La Liga | 0.002 | 0.998 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.002 | 2026-05-30 | 4,648,235.544 | 50,202.377 | 77,587.873 | 0.001 |
| 223 |
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
|
Politics / US Election / Elections / World Elections / Global Elections | 0.024 | 0.976 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.002 | 2028-11-07 | 4,647,592.127 | 65,376.849 | 345,195.011 | 0.024 |
| 224 |
Will Ja Morant win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
|
Sports / NBA / mvp / Awards / Hide From New | 0.001 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2026-06-10 | 4,630,397.172 | 1,100 | 124,824.296 | 0.001 |
| 225 |
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
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Soccer / Sports / FIFA World Cup / 2026 FIFA World Cup / Hide From New | 0.054 | 0.946 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-07-20 | 4,630,256.932 | 62,048.845 | 418,188.924 | 0.054 |
| 226 |
Trump out as President by March 31?
|
Politics / Elections / Trump / Epstein | 0.024 | 0.976 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.002 | 2026-03-31 | 4,532,426.901 | 228,163.567 | 127,090.472 | 0.024 |
| 227 |
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
|
Soccer / Sports / FIFA World Cup / 2026 FIFA World Cup / Hide From New | 0.019 | 0.981 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-07-20 | 4,503,062.852 | 28,631.133 | 366,130.356 | 0.019 |
| 228 |
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
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Soccer / Sports / FIFA World Cup / 2026 FIFA World Cup / Hide From New | 0.002 | 0.999 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-07-20 | 4,475,440.428 | 59,047.906 | 1,380,134.935 | 0.001 |
| 229 |
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
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Soccer / Sports / FIFA World Cup / 2026 FIFA World Cup / Hide From New | 0.011 | 0.99 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-07-20 | 4,465,561.111 | 39,763.358 | 495,739.077 | 0.01 |
| 230 |
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?
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Politics / Middle East / Israel / Iran / Trump | 0.999 | 0.002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.005 | 0.001 | 2026-02-28 | 4,463,215.021 | 2,047,960.439 | 836,101.752 | 0.999 |
| 231 |
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
|
Sports / NBA / NBA Finals / Basketball / NBA Champion | 0.355 | 0.645 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 2026-07-01 | 4,431,333.337 | 25,478.273 | 339,775.507 | 0.35 |
| 232 |
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?
|
Sports / NBA / NBA Finals / Basketball / NBA Champion | 0.083 | 0.917 | 0 | 0 | +0.002 | -0.001 | 0.001 | 2026-07-01 | 4,413,889.167 | 54,194.381 | 105,103.9 | 0.083 |
| 233 |
Will Osasuna win the 2025–26 La Liga?
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Sports / Soccer / La Liga | 0.002 | 0.999 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-05-30 | 4,403,165.641 | 72,464.717 | 486,493.393 | 0.001 |
| 234 |
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?
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Sports / NBA / NBA Finals / Basketball / NBA Champion | 0.072 | 0.928 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.001 | 0.002 | 2026-07-01 | 4,401,698.341 | 82,248.578 | 170,752.452 | 0.073 |
| 235 |
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
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World Elections / Global Elections / US Election / Elections / Politics | 0.014 | 0.986 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.002 | 2028-11-07 | 4,388,180.542 | 21,396.868 | 335,969.54 | 0.012 |
| 236 |
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
|
Soccer / Champions League / Sports / UCL | 0.029 | 0.972 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-05-31 | 4,341,730.79 | 62,476.21 | 323,313.81 | 0.029 |
| 237 |
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
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Soccer / Sports / FIFA World Cup / 2026 FIFA World Cup / Hide From New | 0.007 | 0.993 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-07-20 | 4,334,159.047 | 77,866.584 | 883,567.506 | 0.007 |
| 238 |
Will Trump nominate Marc Sumerlin as the next Fed chair?
|
Jerome Powell / Politics / Trump Presidency / Trump / Fed Rates | 0.001 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2026-12-31 | 4,328,814.775 | - | 2,837,041.942 | 0.001 |
| 239 |
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
|
World Elections / Global Elections / US Election / Elections / Politics | 0.015 | 0.985 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.002 | 2028-11-07 | 4,324,669.364 | 64,414.586 | 270,044.052 | 0.014 |
| 240 |
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?
|
Sports / NBA / NBA Finals / Basketball / NBA Champion | 0.005 | 0.995 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-07-01 | 4,256,959.048 | 63,493.022 | 526,584.813 | 0.005 |
| 241 |
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
|
World Elections / Global Elections / US Election / Elections / Politics | 0.017 | 0.984 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2028-11-07 | 4,241,096.858 | 17,053.11 | 335,515.743 | 0.016 |
| 242 |
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
|
World Elections / Global Elections / US Election / Elections / Politics | 0.022 | 0.978 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2028-11-07 | 4,143,327.583 | 73,202.424 | 291,932.262 | 0.023 |
| 243 |
Trump out as President before 2027?
|
Elections / Politics / Geopolitics / Trump / Epstein | 0.175 | 0.825 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 2026-12-31 | 4,120,039.539 | 187,200.359 | 177,920.447 | 0.18 |
| 244 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
|
Finance / Big Tech / Business / Economy / Tech | 0.999 | 0.001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.002 | 2026-02-28 | 3,982,573.021 | 148,044.577 | 97,777.118 | 0.998 |
| 245 |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
|
World Elections / Global Elections / US Election / Elections / Politics | 0.085 | 0.915 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.001 | 0.002 | 2028-11-07 | 3,951,598.448 | 46,490.718 | 180,999.104 | 0.086 |
| 246 |
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
|
Politics / US Election / Elections / World Elections / Global Elections | 0.025 | 0.976 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2028-11-07 | 3,951,449.243 | 63,147.197 | 303,262.662 | 0.025 |
| 247 |
Will Real Sociedad win the 2025–26 La Liga?
|
Sports / Soccer / La Liga | 0.002 | 0.999 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-05-30 | 3,946,868.108 | 68,968.795 | 478,345.714 | 0.001 |
| 248 |
Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?
|
Sports / Soccer / La Liga | 0.002 | 0.999 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-05-30 | 3,923,831.559 | 70,999.494 | 438,834.73 | 0.001 |
| 249 |
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
|
Sports / NBA / NBA Finals / Basketball / NBA Champion | 0.017 | 0.983 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.002 | 2026-07-01 | 3,920,279.845 | 81,481.407 | 291,299.856 | 0.018 |
| 250 |
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
|
Politics / US Election / Elections / World Elections / Global Elections | 0.015 | 0.985 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2028-11-07 | 3,903,147.403 | 92,740.925 | 241,192.957 | 0.015 |
| 251 |
Will Rayo Vallecano win the 2025–26 La Liga?
|
Sports / Soccer / La Liga | 0.001 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2026-05-30 | 3,898,587.225 | 3.55 | 386,418.544 | 0.001 |
| 252 |
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
|
Soccer / Sports / FIFA World Cup / 2026 FIFA World Cup / Hide From New | 0.004 | 0.997 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-07-20 | 3,862,947.264 | 120,674.642 | 1,183,038.757 | 0.003 |
| 253 |
Will the New York Islanders win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
|
Sports / Hockey / NHL / Stanley Cup | 0.017 | 0.983 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.002 | 2026-06-30 | 3,831,537.643 | 2,925.838 | 119,430.279 | 0.015 |
| 254 |
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?
|
Sports / Golf / PGA TOUR / The Masters | 0.019 | 0.981 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.002 | 2026-04-13 | 3,829,985.913 | 270,157.183 | 3,950.517 | 0.019 |
| 255 |
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?
|
Sports / NBA / NBA Finals / Basketball / NBA Champion | 0.032 | 0.969 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-07-01 | 3,822,005.947 | 82,134.583 | 252,765.99 | 0.032 |
| 256 |
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
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Soccer / Sports / FIFA World Cup / 2026 FIFA World Cup / Hide From New | 0.002 | 0.999 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-07-20 | 3,821,600.69 | 61,459.059 | 1,199,314.808 | 0.001 |
| 257 |
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
|
Soccer / Sports / FIFA World Cup / 2026 FIFA World Cup / Hide From New | 0.011 | 0.99 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-07-20 | 3,798,699.132 | 82,309.038 | 878,451.048 | 0.01 |
| 258 |
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?
|
Sports / NBA / NBA Finals / Basketball / NBA Champion | 0.009 | 0.992 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-07-01 | 3,754,354.793 | 33,662.978 | 304,646.695 | 0.008 |
| 259 |
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?
|
Bitcoin / Monthly / Hit Price / Crypto / Crypto Prices | 0.004 | 0.996 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-04-01 | 3,709,628.382 | 1,773,302.186 | 1,651,300.778 | 0.004 |
| 260 |
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
|
Soccer / Sports / FIFA World Cup / 2026 FIFA World Cup / Hide From New | 0.017 | 0.984 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-07-20 | 3,686,955.495 | 47,900.942 | 650,977.545 | 0.017 |
| 261 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
|
Brazil / Global Elections / World Elections / World / Politics | 0.515 | 0.485 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 2026-10-04 | 3,667,255.902 | 11,334.83 | 210,716.562 | 0.51 |
| 262 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?
|
Bitcoin / Yearly / Hit Price / Crypto Prices / Crypto | 0.069 | 0.931 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.003 | 2027-01-01 | 3,664,713.677 | 18,327.979 | 65,522.95 | 0.067 |
| 263 |
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?
|
Bitcoin / Yearly / Hit Price / Crypto Prices / Crypto | 0.051 | 0.95 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2027-01-01 | 3,652,178.312 | 135,456.31 | 394,193 | 0.051 |
| 264 |
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
|
Soccer / Sports / FIFA World Cup / 2026 FIFA World Cup / Hide From New | 0.018 | 0.983 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-07-20 | 3,572,729.048 | 22,514.905 | 579,294.822 | 0.018 |
| 265 |
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
|
Politics / US Election / Elections / World Elections / Global Elections | 0.017 | 0.984 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2028-11-07 | 3,567,196.384 | 6,739.262 | 519,851.425 | 0.016 |
| 266 |
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
|
World Elections / Global Elections / US Election / Elections / Politics | 0.018 | 0.983 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2028-11-07 | 3,565,521.997 | 27,514.286 | 223,910.523 | 0.017 |
| 267 |
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
|
Sports / NBA / NBA Finals / Basketball / NBA Champion | 0.067 | 0.933 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-07-01 | 3,503,282.751 | 51,197.168 | 260,250.78 | 0.067 |
| 268 |
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
|
Culture / All / Politics / GTA VI | 0.487 | 0.512 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.003 | 2026-07-31 | 3,402,176.214 | 3,284.036 | 444,594.088 | 0.489 |
| 269 |
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
|
Politics / US Election / Elections / World Elections / Global Elections | 0.02 | 0.98 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.002 | 2028-11-07 | 3,394,513.16 | 23,036.267 | 332,780.761 | 0.019 |
| 270 |
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
|
Soccer / Sports / FIFA World Cup / 2026 FIFA World Cup / Hide From New | 0.116 | 0.884 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-07-20 | 3,390,657.177 | 16,401.914 | 562,108.054 | 0.116 |
| 271 |
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
|
Sports / NBA / NBA Finals / Basketball / NBA Champion | 0.007 | 0.993 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-07-01 | 3,388,723.138 | 110,817.338 | 424,750.805 | 0.007 |
| 272 |
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
|
World Elections / Global Elections / US Election / Elections / Politics | 0.013 | 0.988 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2028-11-07 | 3,370,899.321 | 11,883.898 | 508,556.749 | 0.012 |
| 273 |
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
|
Soccer / Sports / FIFA World Cup / 2026 FIFA World Cup / Hide From New | 0.003 | 0.998 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-07-20 | 3,328,182.799 | 101,141.485 | 1,168,513.463 | 0.002 |
| 274 |
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
World Elections / Global Elections / Elections / Politics / US Election | 0.011 | 0.989 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2028-11-07 | 3,280,689.544 | 11,329.938 | 334,484.001 | 0.011 |
| 275 |
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?
|
Soccer / Champions League / Sports / UCL | 0.029 | 0.972 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-05-31 | 3,253,477.495 | 72,368.934 | 312,209.531 | 0.029 |
| 276 |
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
|
Soccer / Sports / FIFA World Cup / 2026 FIFA World Cup / Hide From New | 0.002 | 0.999 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-07-20 | 3,162,430.053 | 181,687.684 | 1,557,458.787 | 0.001 |
| 277 |
Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)?
|
Israel / Iran / World / Middle East / Geopolitics | 0.001 | 0.999 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.001 | 0 | 2026-02-28 | 2,967,300.775 | 25,333.018 | 96,965.292 | 0.001 |
| 278 |
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
|
Brazil / Global Elections / World Elections / World / Politics | 0.025 | 0.975 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.002 | 0.002 | 2026-10-04 | 2,966,710.736 | 35,386.972 | 68,595.103 | 0.024 |
| 279 |
Will Trump nominate Howard Lutnick as the next Fed chair?
|
Jerome Powell / Politics / Trump Presidency / Trump / Fed Rates | 0.001 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2026-12-31 | 2,958,995.839 | - | 2,981,118.882 | 0.001 |
| 280 |
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
|
Soccer / Sports / FIFA World Cup / 2026 FIFA World Cup / Hide From New | 0.15 | 0.85 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-07-20 | 2,943,840.922 | 26,275.584 | 812,275.643 | 0.151 |
| 281 |
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
|
World / World Elections / Elections / Global Elections / Hungary | 0.64 | 0.36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 2026-04-12 | 2,942,597.021 | 45,183.116 | 80,119.843 | 0.64 |
| 282 |
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
|
Awards / Movies / Oscars / Culture | 0.14 | 0.86 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 2026-03-15 | 2,913,295.442 | 18,675.53 | 17,164.887 | 0.13 |
| 283 |
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
World Elections / Global Elections / Elections / Politics / US Election | 0.021 | 0.98 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.004 | 0.001 | 2028-11-07 | 2,907,879.354 | 73,607.769 | 141,046.963 | 0.024 |
| 284 |
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
|
Politics / US Election / Elections / World Elections / Global Elections | 0.015 | 0.986 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.001 | 0.001 | 2028-11-07 | 2,896,198.939 | 252,695.484 | 247,849.423 | 0.014 |
| 285 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
|
Brazil / Global Elections / World Elections / World / Politics | 0.334 | 0.666 | 0 | 0 | +0.003 | 0 | 0.002 | 2026-10-04 | 2,887,346.957 | 14,133.987 | 115,638.938 | 0.335 |
| 286 |
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League?
|
Soccer / Champions League / Sports / UCL | 0.019 | 0.981 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-05-31 | 2,884,994.809 | 35,993.059 | 768,086.103 | 0.019 |
| 287 |
Will Viktor Hovland win the 2026 Masters tournament?
|
Sports / Golf / PGA TOUR / The Masters | 0.018 | 0.982 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.002 | 2026-04-13 | 2,872,673.074 | 268,720.442 | 22,264.131 | 0.018 |
| 288 |
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
|
Geopolitics / Politics / Trump / Middle East / Iran | 0.044 | 0.956 | 0 | 0 | +0.009 | 0 | 0.003 | - | 2,868,631.536 | 1,053,978.408 | 78,460.367 | 0.042 |
| 289 |
Will Trump nominate Lorie K. Logan as the next Fed chair?
|
Jerome Powell / Politics / Trump Presidency / Trump / Fed Rates | 0.001 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2026-12-31 | 2,867,240.566 | - | 2,669,875.598 | 0.001 |
| 290 |
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
|
World Elections / Global Elections / US Election / Elections / Politics | 0.013 | 0.988 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2028-11-07 | 2,859,404.325 | 21,852.368 | 286,948.143 | 0.012 |
| 291 |
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
|
Sports / NBA / NBA Finals / Basketball / NBA Champion | 0.05 | 0.951 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-07-01 | 2,832,305.85 | 82,209.383 | 404,738.435 | 0.049 |
| 292 |
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
|
Soccer / Champions League / Sports / UCL | 0.085 | 0.915 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 2026-05-31 | 2,822,464.193 | 2,501.884 | 350,823.834 | 0.09 |
| 293 |
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
|
World Elections / Global Elections / US Election / Elections / Politics | 0.009 | 0.991 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2028-11-07 | 2,816,198.521 | 72,188.629 | 831,305.758 | 0.009 |
| 294 |
Will Trump nominate James B. Bullard as the next Fed chair?
|
Jerome Powell / Politics / Trump Presidency / Trump / Fed Rates | 0.001 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2026-12-31 | 2,765,622.292 | - | 2,764,790.563 | 0.001 |
| 295 |
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
|
Soccer / Sports / FIFA World Cup / 2026 FIFA World Cup / Hide From New | 0.017 | 0.984 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-07-20 | 2,735,571.159 | 18,147.975 | 733,628.725 | 0.016 |
| 296 |
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?
|
World / World Elections / Elections / Global Elections / Hungary | 0.002 | 0.999 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-04-12 | 2,696,340.851 | 28,291.687 | 290,235.91 | 0.001 |
| 297 |
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
|
Soccer / Sports / FIFA World Cup / 2026 FIFA World Cup / Hide From New | 0.105 | 0.894 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-07-20 | 2,693,597.964 | 16,863.174 | 987,757.679 | 0.106 |
| 298 |
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
|
Business / Tech / Elon Musk | 0.022 | 0.978 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.002 | 2026-06-30 | 2,654,661.587 | 10,826.733 | 41,141.442 | 0.02 |
| 299 |
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?
|
opinion / Pre-Market / fdv / Crypto | 0.503 | 0.496 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.01 | 0.001 | 2027-01-01 | 2,649,829.977 | 136,949.113 | 75,931.26 | 0.501 |
| 300 |
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
|
Soccer / Sports / FIFA World Cup / 2026 FIFA World Cup / Hide From New | 0.086 | 0.913 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-07-20 | 2,606,430.236 | 128,638.037 | 911,102.473 | 0.087 |