Active Polymarket Markets
Усі активні ринки з локальної бази, відсортовані за загальним торговим обсягом (`volume`) у спадному порядку.
22,168 markets
Prices last updated: 2026-03-05 21:30 UTC
| #?Позиція ринку в поточному сортуванні. | Market?Текст питання ринку та пов'язана подія. | Categories?Нормалізовані категорії події: category, subcategory і tags. | Yes?Поточна implied probability для outcome Yes. | No?Поточна implied probability для outcome No. | 2m Change?Зміна midpoint-ціни відносно snapshot, найближчого до точки 2 хвилини тому, зменшена на поточний спред: sign(delta) * max(|delta| - spread, 0). | 10m Change?Зміна midpoint-ціни відносно snapshot, найближчого до точки 10 хвилин тому, зменшена на поточний спред: sign(delta) * max(|delta| - spread, 0). | 1h Change?Зміна midpoint-ціни відносно snapshot, найближчого до точки 1 годину тому, зменшена на поточний спред: sign(delta) * max(|delta| - spread, 0). | 5h Change?Зміна midpoint-ціни відносно snapshot, найближчого до точки 5 годин тому, зменшена на поточний спред: sign(delta) * max(|delta| - spread, 0). | Spread?Поточний спред: best ask - best bid. Якщо bid/ask немає, показується 0. | End Date?Дата завершення ринку за даними Polymarket. | Volume ↓?Загальний торговий обсяг. | 24h Volume?Обсяг торгів за останні 24 години. | Liquidity?Поточна доступна ліквідність ринку. | Last Trade?Остання зафіксована ціна угоди. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6901 |
Will the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to Epstein not be revealed in 2026?
|
Politics / rubio / clinton / Epstein / Trump | 0.57 | 0.43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | 2026-12-31 | 2,873.634 | 4.619 | 5,070.501 | 0.61 |
| 6902 |
Will Jonathan Toews win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?
|
NHL / Sports / Awards / Hockey | 0.001 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2026-06-30 | 2,869.821 | - | 4,211.644 | 0.001 |
| 6903 |
Will Trevor Zegras win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?
|
NHL / Sports / Awards / Hockey | 0.001 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2026-06-30 | 2,869.821 | - | 2,637.889 | 0.001 |
| 6904 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $85 on the final trading day of June 2026?
|
NYMEX Crude Oil Futures / Hide From New / Commodities | 0.335 | 0.665 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.33 | 2026-06-30 | 2,869.097 | 16.8 | 125.294 | 0.26 |
| 6905 |
Will Mitchell Marner win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?
|
NHL / Sports / Awards / Hockey | 0.001 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2026-06-30 | 2,868.988 | - | 2,734.811 | 0.001 |
| 6906 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 15%?
|
World / Global Elections / Brazil / Elections / Politics | 0.035 | 0.965 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.044 | 2026-10-04 | 2,868.756 | 54.609 | 5,609.2 | 0.013 |
| 6907 |
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
|
World / Trump / Politics / Ukraine / Foreign Policy | 0.205 | 0.795 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.09 | 2026-12-31 | 2,868.605 | 375.578 | 4,505.279 | 0.19 |
| 6908 |
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on March 8?
|
XRP / Ripple / Weekly / Multi Strikes / Crypto | 0.978 | 0.022 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.025 | 2026-03-08 | 2,865.475 | - | 10,281.445 | 0.99 |
| 6909 |
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by March 31, 2026?
|
Supreme Court / Courts / Politics / Alito | 0.075 | 0.925 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | 2026-12-31 | 2,865.386 | - | 7,058.167 | 0.08 |
| 6910 |
Fed abolished before 2027?
|
Economy / Trump / Politics / Jerome Powell | 0.033 | 0.968 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.023 | 2026-12-31 | 2,862.751 | - | 4,573.643 | 0.053 |
| 6911 |
Will Robert Thomas win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?
|
NHL / Sports / Awards / Hockey | 0.001 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2026-06-30 | 2,861.481 | - | 4,489.179 | 0.001 |
| 6912 |
Will the Republican Party win the AL-01 House seat?
|
Nov 4 Elections / Politics / Elections / Midterms / House Elections | 0.915 | 0.085 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 2026-11-03 | 2,857.743 | 54.572 | 11,769.227 | 0.92 |
| 6913 |
Will Draymond Green lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?
|
NBA / Basketball / Sports / Hide From New | 0.001 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2026-04-12 | 2,857.483 | - | 2,500.211 | 0.001 |
| 6914 |
Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in February 2026 be between 3.1% and 3.3%?
|
Economy / World / argentina / Macro Indicators / Inflation | 0.035 | 0.966 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.047 | 2026-03-12 | 2,856.722 | 124 | 3,799.246 | 0.02 |
| 6915 |
Will Max Holloway win by KO or TKO?
|
Sports / UFC / Games | 0.405 | 0.595 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.07 | 2026-03-08 | 2,853.08 | 136.732 | 7,774.991 | 0.46 |
| 6916 |
Brandon Williams: Points O/U 12.5
|
Sports / NBA / Games / Basketball | 0.18 | 0.82 | 0 | 0 | -0.005 | 0 | 0.04 | 2026-03-06 | 2,852.079 | 2,852.079 | 5,089.386 | 0.23 |
| 6917 |
Will "Vladimir" be the top global Netflix show this week?
|
netflix / Culture / Movies / Top Netflix | 0.011 | 0.989 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.005 | 0.001 | 2026-03-10 | 2,850.499 | 288.187 | 3,190.011 | 0.013 |
| 6918 |
Will Robert White Jr. win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?
|
Politics / Elections / Primaries | 0.014 | 0.986 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.008 | - | 2,848 | - | 622.303 | 0.002 |
| 6919 |
Will Maxx Crosby play for Chicago Bears next?
|
NFL / raiders / maxx crosby / Sports / trade | 0.54 | 0.46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.297 | 2026-09-01 | 2,847.38 | 711.878 | 157.752 | 0.53 |
| 6920 |
Will world GDP growth be 3.5% in 2026?
|
Global GDP / Economy / GDP / Macro Indicators / IMF | 0.113 | 0.887 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.005 | 2027-01-15 | 2,847.034 | - | 2,552.55 | 0.111 |
| 6921 |
Will JD Vance enter Iran by June 30?
|
Politics / Iran / Geopolitics / Middle East / U.S. x Iran | 0.055 | 0.945 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 2026-06-30 | 2,846.452 | 331.571 | 19,328.962 | 0.05 |
| 6922 |
Will the Republican Party win the IL-15 House seat?
|
Politics / Elections / Nov 4 Elections / Midterms / House Elections | 0.915 | 0.085 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 2026-11-03 | 2,844.198 | 250 | 10,474.461 | 0.91 |
| 6923 |
Will Michelle Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027?
|
Politics / Celebrities / President / Elections | 0.042 | 0.958 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.008 | 2026-12-31 | 2,844.072 | - | 9,467.081 | 0.037 |
| 6924 |
Will the Republican Party win the GA-02 House seat?
|
Nov 4 Elections / Politics / Elections / House Elections / Midterms | 0.095 | 0.905 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 2026-11-03 | 2,842.962 | - | 8,912.054 | 0.08 |
| 6925 |
Will Maxx Crosby play for Detroit Lions next?
|
NFL / raiders / maxx crosby / Sports / trade | 0.017 | 0.984 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.011 | 2026-09-01 | 2,842.603 | 135.15 | 1,741.306 | 0.011 |
| 6926 |
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-01 House seat?
|
Nov 4 Elections / Politics / Elections / House Elections / Midterms | 0.08 | 0.92 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 2026-11-03 | 2,842.181 | 2,203.601 | 11,664.922 | 0.09 |
| 6927 |
Will Andrei Svechnikov win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?
|
NHL / Sports / Awards / Hockey | 0.001 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2026-06-30 | 2,841.901 | - | 4,247.318 | 0.001 |
| 6928 |
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-12 House seat?
|
Elections / Nov 4 Elections / Politics / Midterms / House Elections | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 2026-11-03 | 2,838.54 | - | 7,389.783 | 0.89 |
| 6929 |
Bitcoin BIP-360 implemented in 2026?
|
Crypto / Bitcoin | 0.08 | 0.92 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 2027-01-01 | 2,838.172 | - | 712.187 | 0.11 |
| 6930 |
Will Edgar Javier Rodriguez win the 2026 Cochabamba mayoral election?
|
Bolivia Election / Global Elections / Mayoral Elections / World / World Elections | 0.003 | 0.998 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-03-22 | 2,837.501 | - | 6,384.199 | 0.003 |
| 6931 |
Will turnout in the first round of the Texas Democratic Senate primary be between 1,000,000 and 1,250,000 voters?
|
Primaries / Elections / Politics / US Election / Texas Senate | 0.002 | 0.998 | 0 | 0 | -0.001 | -0.001 | 0 | 2026-03-03 | 2,836.205 | - | 3,202.885 | 0.005 |
| 6932 |
Will Lane Hutson win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?
|
NHL / Sports / Awards / Hockey | 0.001 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2026-06-30 | 2,835.822 | - | 2,574.655 | 0.001 |
| 6933 |
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $300 end of March?
|
GOOGL / Equities / Finance / Hide From New / Stocks | 0.535 | 0.465 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | 2026-03-31 | 2,834.672 | 932.44 | 5,816.961 | 0.57 |
| 6934 |
Netanyahu out by March 31?
|
World / Geopolitics / Middle East / Israel / Politics | 0.065 | 0.935 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | 2026-12-31 | 2,833.824 | 259.007 | 7,510.81 | 0.07 |
| 6935 |
Will the Democratic Party win the LA-03 House seat?
|
Elections / Nov 4 Elections / Politics / House Elections / Midterms | 0.065 | 0.935 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 2026-11-03 | 2,833.779 | 2,274.67 | 11,235.797 | 0.07 |
| 6936 |
Will the percentage change in the S&P 500 in Q1 2026 be between 5% and 6%?
|
Economy / Finance / Indicies / S&P 500 | 0.006 | 0.994 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.007 | 2026-03-31 | 2,832.457 | 1.1 | 2,687.144 | 0.003 |
| 6937 |
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $180-$185 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 2 – Mar 6?
|
NVDA / Stock Prices / Equities / Hide From New / Stocks | 0.43 | 0.57 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | 2026-03-06 | 2,829.349 | 345.138 | 2,612.112 | 0.42 |
| 6938 |
Will Stephanie Linnartz be the next CEO of Lululemon?
|
Culture / Business | 0.329 | 0.671 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.643 | 2026-12-31 | 2,827.374 | - | 99.031 | 0.01 |
| 6939 |
Space FDV above $160M one day after launch?
|
Space / Crypto / Pre-Market / fdv | 0.026 | 0.974 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.007 | 2027-01-01 | 2,826.51 | - | 455.729 | 0.03 |
| 6940 |
Will Trump cap credit card interest rates by March 31, 2026?
|
Trump / APR / Finance / Politics | 0.16 | 0.84 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | 2026-03-31 | 2,823.572 | 209.485 | 2,826.167 | 0.12 |
| 6941 |
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026?
|
Trump / Politics / Foreign Policy / World / Geopolitics | 0.595 | 0.405 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.09 | 2026-12-31 | 2,822.986 | 17.562 | 2,876.633 | 0.64 |
| 6942 |
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on March 5?
|
Weather / Recurring / Hide From New / Daily Temperature / Munich | 0.001 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2026-03-05 | 2,822.655 | 2,476.316 | 2,230.446 | 0.001 |
| 6943 |
Will Trump say "Lonely" in March?
|
Mentions / Trump / Politics | 0.39 | 0.61 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.2 | 2026-03-31 | 2,820.689 | 27.847 | 93.458 | 0.57 |
| 6944 |
Will TikTok - Videos, Shop & LIVE be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?
|
Apple / Culture / Tech / App Store / Big Tech | 0.001 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2026-03-06 | 2,820.194 | - | 1,593.941 | 0.001 |
| 6945 |
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-16 House seat?
|
Elections / Politics / Nov 4 Elections / Midterms / House Elections | 0.92 | 0.08 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 2026-11-03 | 2,818.05 | 3.8 | 9,430.73 | 0.92 |
| 6946 |
Will Tim Walz announce a Presidential run before 2027?
|
Politics / Celebrities / President / Elections | 0.05 | 0.95 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 2026-12-31 | 2,817.474 | - | 10,828.046 | 0.04 |
| 6947 |
Will James Harden lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?
|
NBA / Basketball / Sports / Hide From New | 0.004 | 0.996 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.004 | 2026-04-12 | 2,817.269 | 11.84 | 329.33 | 0.002 |
| 6948 |
Will Paul Reevs be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?
|
Politics / Elections / Primaries / primary elections / Republican Primary | 0.025 | 0.975 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-08-04 | 2,816.62 | - | 3,816.493 | 0.025 |
| 6949 |
Will Waymo launch in London by June 30 2026?
|
Tech / AI / Tesla / Big Tech | 0.07 | 0.93 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.065 | 2026-06-30 | 2,815.827 | - | 4,183.006 | 0.011 |
| 6950 |
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
|
Tech / AI / Big Tech | 0.765 | 0.235 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.11 | 2026-12-31 | 2,815.178 | - | 305.943 | 0.87 |
| 6951 |
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on March 6?
|
Weather / Recurring / Hide From New / Ankara / Daily Temperature | 0.015 | 0.986 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.009 | 2026-03-06 | 2,812.641 | 2,587.781 | 914.174 | 0.012 |
| 6952 |
Will Khamzat Chimaev fight Sean Strickland next?
|
combat / mma / UFC / Sports / Fighting | 0.86 | 0.14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | 2027-01-01 | 2,812.63 | 30 | 666.851 | 0.85 |
| 6953 |
Will Tyrese Maxey lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?
|
NBA / Basketball / Sports / Hide From New | 0.258 | 0.742 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.09 | 2026-04-12 | 2,811.603 | - | 198.826 | 0.25 |
| 6954 |
Will another AI-generated song reach number 1 on any Billboard chart by June 30?
|
Culture / AI / Music | 0.75 | 0.25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.38 | 2026-06-30 | 2,811.493 | - | 2,043.5 | 0.37 |
| 6955 |
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of March 2 above $290?
|
Finance / Hide From New / Stocks / Multi Strikes / Weekly | 0.925 | 0.075 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.05 | 2026-03-06 | 2,811.17 | 1,168.11 | 2,388.668 | 0.92 |
| 6956 |
Will Austria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
|
world cup / Soccer / Sports / FIFA World Cup | 0.14 | 0.86 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | 2026-06-27 | 2,810.942 | - | 4,191.37 | 0.12 |
| 6957 |
Will the Democratic Party win the NE-01 House seat?
|
Elections / Nov 4 Elections / Politics / House Elections / Midterms | 0.19 | 0.81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 2026-11-03 | 2,810.498 | - | 7,972.692 | 0.19 |
| 6958 |
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-17 House seat?
|
Politics / Elections / Nov 4 Elections / Midterms / House Elections | 0.925 | 0.075 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 2026-11-03 | 2,810.099 | 472.99 | 9,535.369 | 0.92 |
| 6959 |
Will Meta (META) close above $640 end of March?
|
Meta / Finance / Stocks / Equities / Monthly | 0.64 | 0.36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | 2026-03-31 | 2,807.265 | 100 | 2,446.323 | 0.7 |
| 6960 |
Will the Republican Party win the ID-01 House seat?
|
Nov 4 Elections / Elections / Politics / Midterms / House Elections | 0.905 | 0.095 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 2026-11-03 | 2,807.108 | 35.6 | 9,303.91 | 0.9 |
| 6961 |
Will Dodi Lukebakio be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
|
Sports / La Liga / Soccer | 0.001 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2026-05-30 | 2,806.552 | - | 10,145.757 | 0.001 |
| 6962 |
Will Jordan Kyrou win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?
|
NHL / Sports / Awards / Hockey | 0.001 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2026-06-30 | 2,806.219 | - | 4,298.086 | 0.001 |
| 6963 |
Will the RSF capture El Obeid by March 31?
|
World / Politics / Geopolitics / Sudan Map / Sudan | 0.045 | 0.955 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.048 | 2026-03-31 | 2,805.074 | 19.505 | 3,051.224 | 0.07 |
| 6964 |
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in March 2026?
|
Climate & Science / Science / Weather | 0.335 | 0.665 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.13 | 2026-04-10 | 2,802.664 | 80.611 | 2,789.93 | 0.44 |
| 6965 |
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of March 2 above $420?
|
TSLA / Finance / Equities / Weekly / Hide From New | 0.045 | 0.955 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.03 | 0.03 | 2026-03-06 | 2,799.705 | 1,022.302 | 1,196.853 | 0.09 |
| 6966 |
Will Jimmy Snuggerud win the 2025–2026 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy?
|
NHL / Sports / Awards / Hockey | 0.001 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2026-06-30 | 2,798.576 | - | 4,336.172 | 0.001 |
| 6967 |
Will Omar Marmoush be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?
|
Soccer / Champions League / Sports | 0.001 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2026-05-30 | 2,797.852 | - | 1,214.629 | 0.001 |
| 6968 |
Will the percentage change in the S&P 500 in Q1 2026 be between 2% and 3%?
|
Economy / Finance / Indicies / S&P 500 | 0.07 | 0.93 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 2026-03-31 | 2,797.242 | 1.1 | 2,638.646 | 0.07 |
| 6969 |
Will Taqaddom Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
|
Middle East / Lebanon / Global Elections / World Elections / Elections | 0.016 | 0.984 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.026 | 2026-05-31 | 2,795.976 | 264.89 | 5,665.991 | 0.003 |
| 6970 |
Keyonte George: Assists O/U 5.5
|
Sports / NBA / Games / Basketball | 0.005 | 0.995 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.182 | 0.008 | 2026-03-06 | 2,794.914 | 2,794.914 | 103,550.587 | 0.001 |
| 6971 |
Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
|
google / OpenAI / AI / DeepSeek / gpt | 0.085 | 0.915 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | 2026-12-31 | 2,794.31 | 1,600 | 2,683.788 | 0.08 |
| 6972 |
Will the Democrats win the Maine governor race in 2026?
|
Midterms / Elections / US Election / Politics / Governor midterms | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | - | 2,792.109 | 1.09 | 10,996.724 | 0.89 |
| 6973 |
Will EUR/USD hit 1.14 (Low) in 2026?
|
Finance / Euro / Foreign Exchange / dollar / forex | 0.735 | 0.265 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.29 | 2026-12-31 | 2,790.268 | 201.61 | 770.127 | 0.7 |
| 6974 |
Will Drake have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
|
Music / Culture / billboard / hot 100 | 0.815 | 0.185 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.11 | 2026-12-31 | 2,789.591 | - | 1,503.266 | 0.84 |
| 6975 |
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat?
|
Nov 4 Elections / Politics / Elections / Midterms / House Elections | 0.235 | 0.765 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | 2026-11-03 | 2,788.734 | 143 | 5,935.691 | 0.17 |
| 6976 |
Will Park Jae-ho win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?
|
Politics / Elections / World / South Korea / World Elections | 0.004 | 0.997 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.003 | 2026-06-03 | 2,788.164 | 599.5 | 4,819.99 | 0.003 |
| 6977 |
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
|
Politics / China / Trump / Geopolitics / Trump-Xi | 0.21 | 0.79 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.12 | 2026-12-31 | 2,783.039 | 73.103 | 2,874.598 | 0.27 |
| 6978 |
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
|
Fed / Parlays / Economy / Fed Rates / Economic Policy | 0.007 | 0.993 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.008 | 2026-06-17 | 2,781.579 | 327.29 | 18,250.986 | 0.002 |
| 6979 |
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?
|
World / Economy / Brazil / Global Rates / Economic Policy | 0.925 | 0.075 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | 2026-04-28 | 2,780.771 | 122.33 | 1,899.708 | 0.92 |
| 6980 |
Will Elvis Casely win the GA-14 special election?
|
Politics / Elections / Trump | 0.019 | 0.981 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.037 | 2026-02-15 | 2,779.676 | - | 8,524.993 | 0.03 |
| 6981 |
Will Mohammed Amoura be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Bundesliga season?
|
Sports / Soccer / bundesliga | 0.018 | 0.982 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.024 | 2026-05-28 | 2,778.894 | 610.237 | 3,304.064 | 0.027 |
| 6982 |
Will Robin Toldens be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?
|
Politics / Elections / Primaries / primary elections / Pennsylvania Primary | 0.036 | 0.964 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.025 | 2026-05-19 | 2,776.442 | - | 3,902.044 | 0.048 |
| 6983 |
Will Rebekah LaVann be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?
|
Politics / Elections / Primaries / primary elections / Oklahoma Primary | 0.026 | 0.974 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.024 | 2026-06-16 | 2,774.86 | - | 3,493.923 | 0.013 |
| 6984 |
Will Manchester City finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?
|
Sports / Soccer / EPL | 0.088 | 0.911 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.009 | 2026-05-27 | 2,774.747 | 109.312 | 351.735 | 0.05 |
| 6985 |
Will Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
|
Middle East / Iran / World / Geopolitics / Politics | 0.004 | 0.996 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.005 | 2026-12-31 | 2,773.991 | 236.361 | 11,690.161 | 0.002 |
| 6986 |
Will Michael Porter Jr. lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?
|
NBA / Basketball / Sports / Hide From New | 0.034 | 0.967 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.029 | 2026-04-12 | 2,773.536 | - | 316.604 | 0.048 |
| 6987 |
Abstract FDV above $2B one day after launch?
|
Crypto / Pre-Market / Abstract / fdv | 0.055 | 0.945 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 2028-01-01 | 2,773.124 | - | 12,161.017 | 0.07 |
| 6988 |
Will Nikola Vucevic lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?
|
NBA / Basketball / Sports / Hide From New | 0.003 | 0.998 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.003 | 2026-04-12 | 2,769.592 | - | 4,566.295 | 0.001 |
| 6989 |
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-03-08?
|
Sports / La Liga / Games / Soccer | 0.235 | 0.765 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 2026-03-08 | 2,768.364 | 241.958 | 55,111.614 | 0.24 |
| 6990 |
Will annual inflation increase by 2.5% in March?
|
Inflation / Economy / Macro Indicators / cpi | 0.023 | 0.977 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.022 | 2026-04-10 | 2,767.209 | 1,909.5 | 8,087.138 | 0.011 |
| 6991 |
Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?
|
Elections / US Election / Politics / Governor midterms / California Midterm | 0.002 | 0.999 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-11-03 | 2,766.975 | 200.917 | 25,453.855 | 0.001 |
| 6992 |
Will Jeannie Evans be the Republican nominee for Senate in Illinois?
|
Politics / Elections / Primaries / primary elections / Senate Primary | 0.055 | 0.945 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.001 | 0.018 | 2026-03-17 | 2,764.997 | 28 | 3,197.751 | 0.06 |
| 6993 |
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?
|
World / Economy / Global Rates / Economic Policy | 0.58 | 0.42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.16 | 2026-05-05 | 2,764.148 | 38.157 | 396.72 | 0.7 |
| 6994 |
Will "Project Hail Mary" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
|
Rotten Tomatoes / Culture / Movies | 0.99 | 0.011 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.009 | 2026-03-02 | 2,762.038 | - | 3,492.393 | 0.989 |
| 6995 |
Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?
|
World Elections / Elections / Politics / Global Elections | 0.76 | 0.24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.06 | 2026-03-31 | 2,761.534 | - | 4,230.417 | 0.78 |
| 6996 |
OpenAI acquired before 2027?
|
AI / Business / OpenAI / Tech / Finance | 0.054 | 0.946 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.029 | 2026-12-31 | 2,761.476 | - | 2,864.29 | 0.082 |
| 6997 |
Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2026?
|
Trump / Geopolitics / Politics / H-1B | 0.083 | 0.917 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.015 | 2026-12-31 | 2,760.605 | - | 10,221.646 | 0.056 |
| 6998 |
Will Nic Claxton lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?
|
NBA / Basketball / Sports / Hide From New | 0.003 | 0.998 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.003 | 2026-04-12 | 2,758.077 | - | 4,658.004 | 0.001 |
| 6999 |
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-16 House seat?
|
Elections / Politics / Nov 4 Elections / House Elections / Midterms | 0.125 | 0.875 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 2026-11-03 | 2,757.284 | 8.154 | 8,989.684 | 0.13 |
| 7000 |
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $50 by end of March?
|
Finance / Silver / Commodities / Hide From New / COMEX Silver Futures | 0.04 | 0.96 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 2026-03-31 | 2,754.205 | 1,128.433 | 7,870.998 | 0.05 |