Active Polymarket Markets
Усі активні ринки з локальної бази, відсортовані за загальним торговим обсягом (`volume`) у спадному порядку.
21,977 markets
Prices last updated: 2026-03-05 10:58 UTC
| #?Позиція ринку в поточному сортуванні. | Market?Текст питання ринку та пов'язана подія. | Categories?Нормалізовані категорії події: category, subcategory і tags. | Yes?Поточна implied probability для outcome Yes. | No?Поточна implied probability для outcome No. | 2m Change?Зміна midpoint-ціни відносно snapshot, найближчого до точки 2 хвилини тому, зменшена на поточний спред: sign(delta) * max(|delta| - spread, 0). | 10m Change?Зміна midpoint-ціни відносно snapshot, найближчого до точки 10 хвилин тому, зменшена на поточний спред: sign(delta) * max(|delta| - spread, 0). | 1h Change?Зміна midpoint-ціни відносно snapshot, найближчого до точки 1 годину тому, зменшена на поточний спред: sign(delta) * max(|delta| - spread, 0). | 5h Change?Зміна midpoint-ціни відносно snapshot, найближчого до точки 5 годин тому, зменшена на поточний спред: sign(delta) * max(|delta| - spread, 0). | Spread?Поточний спред: best ask - best bid. Якщо bid/ask немає, показується 0. | End Date?Дата завершення ринку за даними Polymarket. | Volume ↓?Загальний торговий обсяг. | 24h Volume?Обсяг торгів за останні 24 години. | Liquidity?Поточна доступна ліквідність ринку. | Last Trade?Остання зафіксована ціна угоди. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5401 |
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates hit 2.5% or lower in 2026?
|
Parlays / Hide From New | 0.225 | 0.775 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | 2026-12-31 | 5,336.911 | 38.34 | 1,872.008 | 0.21 |
| 5402 |
Will Gustavo Bolívar win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
|
World / Elections / Global Elections / Politics | 0.011 | 0.99 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.013 | 2026-05-31 | 5,333.595 | 170.596 | 7,283.926 | 0.003 |
| 5403 |
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?
|
Politics / Foreign Policy / World / Geopolitics | 0.17 | 0.831 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.091 | 2026-12-31 | 5,332.32 | 79.715 | 3,775.858 | 0.215 |
| 5404 |
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of March 2 above $265?
|
AAPL / Equities / Finance / Hide From New / Stocks | 0.345 | 0.655 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.05 | 2026-03-06 | 5,331.892 | 2,935.904 | 4,685.37 | 0.41 |
| 5405 |
Will Katie Dempsey win the GA-14 special election?
|
Politics / Elections / Trump | 0.02 | 0.98 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.038 | 2026-02-15 | 5,330.369 | - | 3,154.044 | 0.03 |
| 5406 |
Huddle FDV above $10M one day after launch?
|
Huddle / Crypto / Pre-Market / fdv | 0.335 | 0.665 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.23 | 2027-01-01 | 5,329.277 | - | 1,076.115 | 0.29 |
| 5407 |
Will AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?
|
Sports / Games / sea / Soccer | 0.31 | 0.69 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 2026-03-08 | 5,328.116 | 50.97 | 84,176.18 | 0.32 |
| 5408 |
Will Learner Tien win the 2026 Men's French Open?
|
Sports / ATP / Tennis / Roland Garros | 0.013 | 0.987 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.002 | 2026-06-07 | 5,318.093 | 61.993 | 13,778.139 | 0.011 |
| 5409 |
Will Bill Clinton say "Prince" during his Epstein testimony?
|
Epstein / Politics | 0.015 | 0.985 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.014 | 2026-02-27 | 5,313.236 | 10 | 4,407.109 | 0.008 |
| 5410 |
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $3.00 end of March?
|
OPEN / Equities / Finance / Hide From New / Stocks | 0.959 | 0.041 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.058 | 2026-03-31 | 5,309.39 | 166.51 | 231.011 | 0.94 |
| 5411 |
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets in April 2026?
|
Culture / Politics / Tweet Markets | 0.001 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2026-05-01 | 5,309.241 | - | 17,073.601 | 0.001 |
| 5412 |
Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 38m?
|
Movies / box office / Culture | 0.035 | 0.966 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.029 | 2026-03-09 | 5,303.085 | 3,960.346 | 8,308.935 | 0.03 |
| 5413 |
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C or higher on March 5?
|
Weather / Recurring / Hide From New / Buenos Aires / Daily Temperature | 0.501 | 0.499 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.02 | 0.058 | 2026-03-05 | 5,300.204 | 2,899.286 | 461.342 | 0.618 |
| 5414 |
Will Roma finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?
|
Sports / Soccer / Serie A | 0.525 | 0.475 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.15 | 2026-05-28 | 5,298.972 | 3.95 | 4,033.108 | 0.51 |
| 5415 |
Will "Megapixel" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?
|
Apple / Culture / Mentions / Big Tech / Tech | 0.05 | 0.95 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.025 | 0.02 | 2026-03-04 | 5,297.057 | 634.922 | 981.247 | 0.15 |
| 5416 |
Will Matt Klein be the Democratic nominee for MN-02?
|
Politics / Elections / Primaries / primary elections / Democratic Primary | 0.375 | 0.625 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.11 | 2026-08-11 | 5,294.833 | - | 5,362.077 | 0.34 |
| 5417 |
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on March 5?
|
Weather / Recurring / Hide From New / Buenos Aires / Daily Temperature | 0.001 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.001 | 0 | 2026-03-05 | 5,292.488 | 690.972 | 3,268.879 | 0.001 |
| 5418 |
Will the Boston Celtics finish as the #1 seed in the 2025–2026 NBA Eastern Conference?
|
Sports / NBA | 0.049 | 0.952 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.039 | 2026-04-12 | 5,287.969 | 5.26 | 2,722.44 | 0.072 |
| 5419 |
Will Donovan Mitchell lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?
|
NBA / Basketball / Sports / Hide From New | 0.002 | 0.999 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-04-12 | 5,285.41 | - | 4,672.275 | 0.001 |
| 5420 |
ChatGPT Outage by March 15?
|
chatgpt / Big Tech / OpenAI / gpt / outage | 0.55 | 0.45 | 0 | 0 | -0.02 | -0.065 | 0.02 | 2026-03-15 | 5,276.069 | 10.391 | 6,957.77 | 0.61 |
| 5421 |
Will Petr Yan fight Henry Cejudo next?
|
Sports / UFC | 0.002 | 0.999 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-12-31 | 5,275.237 | - | 2,038.511 | 0.001 |
| 5422 |
Will Ghislaine Maxwell Testify to Congress about Epstein?
|
clinton / Politics / Epstein / Jeffrey Epstein | 0.18 | 0.82 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.16 | 2026-06-30 | 5,274.081 | 1.55 | 1,964.613 | 0.18 |
| 5423 |
Will Arya Azma win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Democratic primary election?
|
Politics / Elections / Primaries / primary elections / Oklahoma Primary | 0.08 | 0.92 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 2026-06-16 | 5,273.406 | 255.005 | 9,646.037 | 0.08 |
| 5424 |
Will Hillary say "Prince" during her Epstein testimony?
|
Trump / Epstein / Politics | 0.002 | 0.998 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2026-02-26 | 5,257.968 | 1,261.803 | 10,340.332 | 0.005 |
| 5425 |
Will Ubisoft announce bankruptcy by June 30?
|
Tech / Finance / Games / Business | 0.059 | 0.941 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.037 | 2026-06-30 | 5,255.813 | 37.56 | 3,903.499 | 0.082 |
| 5426 |
Will Tottenham finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?
|
Soccer / Sports / EPL | 0.002 | 0.999 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-05-27 | 5,254.722 | 313.526 | 3,788.392 | 0.001 |
| 5427 |
Will Toni Atkins win the California Governor Election in 2026?
|
Elections / US Election / Politics / Governor midterms / California Midterm | 0.002 | 0.999 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-11-03 | 5,239.342 | 25.005 | 25,230.845 | 0.001 |
| 5428 |
Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $50B and $75B at market close on IPO day?
|
Tech / IPOs / AI / Business / Big Tech | 0.1 | 0.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2027-12-31 | 5,236.374 | - | 3,287.083 | 0.098 |
| 5429 |
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 82°F or higher on March 5?
|
Weather / Recurring / Hide From New / Atlanta / Daily Temperature | 0.185 | 0.815 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.02 | 0.03 | 2026-03-05 | 5,224.681 | 2,153.281 | 492.067 | 0.19 |
| 5430 |
Will Fulham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?
|
Sports / Soccer / EPL | 0.01 | 0.99 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.006 | 2026-05-27 | 5,224.402 | - | 4,177.121 | 0.007 |
| 5431 |
Will turnout in the first round of the Texas Republican Senate primary be below 2,000,000 voters?
|
US Election / Elections / Politics / Primaries / Texas Senate | 0.006 | 0.994 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 2026-03-03 | 5,223.318 | 18 | 3,249.878 | 0.001 |
| 5432 |
Will Anna-Karin Hatt be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
|
World / Global Elections / Swedish / Elections / World Elections | 0.003 | 0.998 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-09-13 | 5,220.411 | - | 8,553.732 | 0.002 |
| 5433 |
Will Zendaya and Tom Holland get married by December 31?
|
Celebrities / Movies / Culture | 0.95 | 0.05 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 2026-12-31 | 5,217.873 | 169.54 | 2,215.826 | 0.94 |
| 5434 |
Will Taylor Swift have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
|
Music / Culture / spotify | 0.004 | 0.997 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-03-31 | 5,212.611 | 145 | 5,699.005 | 0.007 |
| 5435 |
Will Bill Clinton say "Donor" during his Epstein testimony?
|
Epstein / Politics | 0.004 | 0.997 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.003 | 2026-02-27 | 5,211.219 | 248.452 | 2,598.711 | 0.003 |
| 5436 |
Will Timothy Wilcox win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Republican primary election?
|
Politics / Elections / Primaries / primary elections / Republican Primary | 0.017 | 0.984 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.025 | 2026-08-11 | 5,210.914 | - | 6,538.588 | 0.03 |
| 5437 |
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?
|
Middle East / Iran / World / Geopolitics / Politics | 0.122 | 0.878 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.024 | 2026-12-31 | 5,210.426 | 845.913 | 10,312.427 | 0.054 |
| 5438 |
Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's French Open?
|
Sports / ATP / Tennis / Roland Garros | 0.009 | 0.992 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-06-07 | 5,209.223 | 161.984 | 3,264.477 | 0.008 |
| 5439 |
Will Paloma Valencia win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
|
World / Elections / Global Elections / Politics | 0.029 | 0.971 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.024 | 2026-05-31 | 5,206.783 | 189.961 | 5,817.111 | 0.041 |
| 5440 |
Will Trump post "Netflix" or "Paramount / Warner" on Truth Social this week? (March 8)
|
Politics / Trump | 0.445 | 0.555 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.59 | 2026-03-08 | 5,204.719 | 17.26 | 139.563 | 0.55 |
| 5441 |
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?
|
Elections / Politics / Midterms / US Election / Senate midterms | 0.165 | 0.835 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.05 | - | 5,201.493 | 43.5 | 8,862.48 | 0.18 |
| 5442 |
Will the Republican Party win the TX-17 House seat?
|
Elections / Politics / Nov 4 Elections / Midterms / House Elections | 0.825 | 0.175 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | 2026-11-03 | 5,199.903 | - | 3,482.25 | 0.81 |
| 5443 |
Don Lemon sentenced to prison?
|
Politics / Culture | 0.12 | 0.88 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | - | 5,199.478 | - | 1,324.838 | 0.13 |
| 5444 |
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on March 5?
|
Weather / Recurring / Hide From New / Seattle / Daily Temperature | 0.001 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.012 | 0 | 2026-03-05 | 5,192.84 | 2,528.061 | 73,742.67 | 0.001 |
| 5445 |
Will the Republicans win the Wyoming Senate race in 2026?
|
Midterms / Elections / US Election / Politics / Senate midterms | 0.92 | 0.08 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | - | 5,181.37 | 112.482 | 10,223.721 | 0.93 |
| 5446 |
Will Ashley B. Moody be the Republican nominee for Senate in Florida?
|
Politics / Elections / Primaries / primary elections / Senate Primary | 0.895 | 0.105 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | 2026-08-18 | 5,179.699 | 72.09 | 7,978.391 | 0.89 |
| 5447 |
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce no change at the March meeting?
|
Economy / Economic Policy / Colombia / World / Global Rates | 0.082 | 0.918 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.049 | 2026-03-31 | 5,179.411 | - | 2,679.531 | 0.12 |
| 5448 |
Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?
|
Big Tech / Elon Musk / Business / Tech / Finance | 0.115 | 0.885 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.05 | 2026-12-31 | 5,178.888 | - | 6,664.054 | 0.16 |
| 5449 |
Felix Protocol FDV above $800M one day after launch?
|
Crypto / Pre-Market / Felix / fdv | 0.021 | 0.979 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.017 | 2027-01-01 | 5,178.644 | - | 3,839.58 | 0.019 |
| 5450 |
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-08?
|
Sports / Games / sea / Soccer | 0.265 | 0.735 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 2026-03-08 | 5,176.226 | 87.848 | 37,704.527 | 0.27 |
| 5451 |
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
|
Brazil / Politics / World / Global Elections / Elections | 0.085 | 0.915 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | 2026-10-04 | 5,174.827 | 5.42 | 7,068.574 | 0.08 |
| 5452 |
Will the Winnipeg Jets win the Western Conference?
|
NHL / Sports / Hockey | 0.003 | 0.998 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-06-30 | 5,173.719 | - | 15,109.981 | 0.001 |
| 5453 |
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 9, 2026?
|
Gaza / World / Politics / Daily Strikes / hamas | 0.26 | 0.74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | 2026-03-31 | 5,169.673 | 226.744 | 3,176.606 | 0.25 |
| 5454 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 6?
|
Crypto / Bitcoin / Weekly / Neg Risk / Crypto Prices | 0.197 | 0.803 | 0 | 0 | -0.023 | -0.017 | 0.042 | 2026-03-06 | 5,164.68 | 389.224 | 2,314.821 | 0.277 |
| 5455 |
Will Quin Snyder win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?
|
NBA / Basketball / Sports / Hide From New | 0.001 | 0.999 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2026-06-30 | 5,162.493 | - | 2,301.526 | 0.001 |
| 5456 |
Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?
|
Politics / Geopolitics / World | 0.155 | 0.845 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.07 | 2026-12-31 | 5,161.187 | - | 5,157.668 | 0.19 |
| 5457 |
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
|
Supreme Court / Courts / Politics / Alito | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 2026-12-31 | 5,159.906 | - | 9,612.76 | 0.51 |
| 5458 |
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 28 or 29 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?
|
Politics / Elections / Midterms / US Election | 0.019 | 0.981 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.004 | 2026-11-03 | 5,157.879 | 433.17 | 50,902.26 | 0.014 |
| 5459 |
Will Jack Harlow have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
|
Music / Culture / billboard / hot 100 | 0.35 | 0.65 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | 2026-12-31 | 5,157.122 | - | 95.951 | 0.1 |
| 5460 |
Will Cirie Fields win Survivor Season 50?
|
Culture / Reality TV | 0.026 | 0.974 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.008 | 2026-05-20 | 5,155.772 | 335.043 | 6,858.746 | 0.039 |
| 5461 |
Will Martin Momtahan win the GA-14 special election?
|
Politics / Elections / Trump | 0.021 | 0.98 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.039 | 2026-02-15 | 5,155.633 | - | 3,633.042 | 0.03 |
| 5462 |
Will Pascal Siakam lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?
|
NBA / Basketball / Sports / Hide From New | 0.004 | 0.996 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.005 | 2026-04-12 | 5,154.316 | - | 3,668.832 | 0.001 |
| 5463 |
Will Cade Cunningham lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?
|
NBA / Basketball / Sports / Hide From New | 0.001 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2026-04-12 | 5,150.564 | - | 4,628.782 | 0.001 |
| 5464 |
Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on March 5?
|
Ripple / Weekly / Multi Strikes / XRP / Crypto | 0.002 | 0.999 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.006 | 0.001 | 2026-03-05 | 5,144.435 | 1,787.422 | 12,348.395 | 0.001 |
| 5465 |
Will NVIDIA dip to $164 in March?
|
Monthly / NVDA / Finance / Hide From New / Equities | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | 2026-04-01 | 5,136.586 | 2,357.153 | 1,001.237 | 0.27 |
| 5466 |
Will T.J. Parker be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?
|
Sports / NCAA Football / NFL / CFB / NFL Draft | 0.002 | 0.999 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-04-25 | 5,135.655 | - | 3,251.41 | 0.001 |
| 5467 |
Will no one dissent the March Fed decision?
|
Fed / Fed Rates / Politics / Economic Policy / Economy | 0.015 | 0.985 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.002 | 2026-03-18 | 5,132.434 | 40 | 3,730.606 | 0.033 |
| 5468 |
Will Hillary say "Six Seven" during her Epstein testimony?
|
Trump / Epstein / Politics | 0.003 | 0.998 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.003 | 2026-02-26 | 5,123.304 | 1,384.897 | 11,598.343 | 0.013 |
| 5469 |
Will Chet Holmgren lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?
|
NBA / Basketball / Sports / Hide From New | 0.005 | 0.995 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.003 | 2026-04-12 | 5,119.607 | - | 218.416 | 0.02 |
| 5470 |
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
|
Midterms / Elections / Politics / US Election / Senate midterms | 0.76 | 0.24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.2 | - | 5,117.909 | - | 6,138.179 | 0.57 |
| 5471 |
Will Weibo Gaming win the LPL 2026 Split 1 playoffs?
|
Esports / lol / league of legends / Sports | 0.075 | 0.925 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.019 | 0.044 | 2026-04-01 | 5,117.139 | 1,606.907 | 686.795 | 0.095 |
| 5472 |
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce a decrease at the April meeting?
|
Economic Policy / Global Rates / Economy / World / Colombia | 0.014 | 0.986 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.016 | 2026-04-30 | 5,115.749 | - | 2,784.169 | 0.035 |
| 5473 |
Will Meta (META) finish week of March 2 above $660?
|
Meta / Equities / Finance / Hide From New / Stocks | 0.59 | 0.41 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | 2026-03-06 | 5,112.264 | 2,193.198 | 2,273.05 | 0.6 |
| 5474 |
Will West Ham finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?
|
Sports / Soccer / EPL | 0.002 | 0.998 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.002 | 2026-05-27 | 5,106.802 | - | 2,657.77 | 0.002 |
| 5475 |
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 40-41°F on March 5?
|
Weather / Recurring / Hide From New / Chicago / Daily Temperature | 0.1 | 0.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.057 | 2026-03-05 | 5,106.363 | 2,502.706 | 790.515 | 0.126 |
| 5476 |
Obama federally charged before 2027?
|
obama / Politics / Trump | 0.155 | 0.845 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.146 | 2026-12-31 | 5,105.906 | 191.83 | 528.863 | 0.071 |
| 5477 |
Will Saeed Jalili be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
|
Middle East / Iran / World / Geopolitics / Politics | 0.007 | 0.993 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-12-31 | 5,105.519 | 125 | 12,100.445 | 0.006 |
| 5478 |
Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's French Open?
|
Sports / ATP / Tennis / Roland Garros | 0.008 | 0.992 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.004 | 2026-06-07 | 5,105.37 | 67.028 | 15,511.745 | 0.006 |
| 5479 |
Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?
|
Politics / Celebrities / President / Elections | 0.085 | 0.915 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 2026-12-31 | 5,100.914 | - | 10,267.801 | 0.09 |
| 5480 |
Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?
|
World / Politics / Xi / China / Geopolitics | 0.22 | 0.78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.08 | 2026-12-31 | 5,100.141 | 10 | 2,531.599 | 0.2 |
| 5481 |
Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" or "MAGA" this week? (March 8)
|
Mentions / Politics / Trump | 0.705 | 0.295 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | 2026-03-08 | 5,099.941 | 464.519 | 713.956 | 0.69 |
| 5482 |
Will Anthony Edwards lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?
|
NBA / Basketball / Sports / Hide From New | 0.013 | 0.987 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.017 | 2026-04-12 | 5,098.708 | - | 962.638 | 0.002 |
| 5483 |
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on March 5?
|
Ripple / Weekly / Multi Strikes / XRP / Crypto | 1 | 0.001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-03-05 | 5,094.359 | 3,760.415 | 15,416.704 | 0.999 |
| 5484 |
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?
|
Tech / Elon Musk / AI / Grok | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | - | 5,092.473 | 79.387 | 4,211.8 | 0.59 |
| 5485 |
Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
|
Middle East / Iran / World / Geopolitics / Politics | 0.036 | 0.964 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.022 | 2026-12-31 | 5,084.557 | 2,193.615 | 10,945.505 | 0.037 |
| 5486 |
Will Mistral have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?
|
AI / OpenAI / Gemini 3 / Tech / Big Tech | 0.003 | 0.998 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.003 | 2026-03-31 | 5,082.071 | 3.653 | 7,506.612 | 0.002 |
| 5487 |
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-04 House seat?
|
Elections / Nov 4 Elections / Politics / House Elections / Midterms | 0.045 | 0.955 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.001 | 0.002 | 2026-11-03 | 5,081.261 | - | 8,086.206 | 0.045 |
| 5488 |
Will Gold (GC) settle over $4,600 on the final trading day of June 2026?
|
Commodities / COMEX Gold Futures / Hide From New / Finance / Gold | 0.885 | 0.115 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.125 | 0.05 | 2026-06-30 | 5,079.24 | - | 1,318.343 | 0.9 |
| 5489 |
Internet Access restored in Iran by March 14, 2026?
|
Middle East / Iran Regime / Iran / blackout / outage | 0.055 | 0.945 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 2026-03-14 | 5,077.789 | 3,735.434 | 12,674.306 | 0.06 |
| 5490 |
Will anyone charged over daycare fraud in MN be deported by March 31?
|
Culture / Somalian / MN / Tim Walz / Somali | 0.034 | 0.967 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-03-31 | 5,072.938 | 11.9 | 2,257.516 | 0.03 |
| 5491 |
Will Zach Werenski win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?
|
NHL / Sports / Awards / Hockey | 0.003 | 0.997 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.002 | 2026-06-30 | 5,062.069 | - | 3,211.528 | 0.004 |
| 5492 |
Will DeepSeek have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?
|
Big Tech / AI / Tech / Gemini 3 / OpenAI | 0.032 | 0.969 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.003 | 2026-03-31 | 5,060.413 | 230.754 | 7,274.591 | 0.03 |
| 5493 |
Will the US deport illegal migrants to Argentina by March 31?
|
milei / Politics / Trump / Immigration / World | 0.092 | 0.908 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.054 | 2026-03-31 | 5,059.931 | - | 2,995.16 | 0.08 |
| 5494 |
Will March 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?
|
Science / Climate & Science / Weather / Global Temp | 0.025 | 0.975 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.026 | 2026-04-10 | 5,058.55 | 23.956 | 5,877.957 | 0.017 |
| 5495 |
Will Robert Wells Jr. be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
|
Politics / Elections / Primaries / primary elections / Republican Primary | 0.001 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2026-05-19 | 5,058.433 | - | 5,923.609 | 0.001 |
| 5496 |
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?
|
Macro Indicators / Economic Policy / Economy / Business / GDP | 0.085 | 0.915 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | 2026-04-30 | 5,057.055 | - | 3,145.763 | 0.07 |
| 5497 |
Will Jon Gray-Ginsberg win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?
|
Politics / Elections / Primaries / primary elections / Governor Primary | 0.015 | 0.985 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-06-30 | 5,055.492 | - | 3,922.147 | 0.015 |
| 5498 |
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-16 House seat?
|
Nov 4 Elections / Politics / Elections / Midterms / House Elections | 0.94 | 0.06 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 2026-11-03 | 5,053.601 | 4,088.601 | 16,825.65 | 0.95 |
| 5499 |
Will Desmond Bane lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?
|
NBA / Basketball / Sports / Hide From New | 0.002 | 0.999 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-04-12 | 5,049.305 | - | 2,524.153 | 0.001 |
| 5500 |
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
|
Congress / Politics / Elections / US Election / Trump | 0.095 | 0.905 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | - | 5,049.218 | 142.56 | 15,147.67 | 0.09 |