Active Polymarket Markets
Усі активні ринки з локальної бази, відсортовані за загальним торговим обсягом (`volume`) у спадному порядку.
22,484 markets
Prices last updated: 2026-03-04 02:24 UTC
| #?Позиція ринку в поточному сортуванні. | Market?Текст питання ринку та пов'язана подія. | Categories?Нормалізовані категорії події: category, subcategory і tags. | Yes?Поточна implied probability для outcome Yes. | No?Поточна implied probability для outcome No. | 2m Change?Зміна midpoint-ціни відносно snapshot, найближчого до точки 2 хвилини тому, зменшена на поточний спред: sign(delta) * max(|delta| - spread, 0). | 10m Change?Зміна midpoint-ціни відносно snapshot, найближчого до точки 10 хвилин тому, зменшена на поточний спред: sign(delta) * max(|delta| - spread, 0). | 1h Change?Зміна midpoint-ціни відносно snapshot, найближчого до точки 1 годину тому, зменшена на поточний спред: sign(delta) * max(|delta| - spread, 0). | 5h Change?Зміна midpoint-ціни відносно snapshot, найближчого до точки 5 годин тому, зменшена на поточний спред: sign(delta) * max(|delta| - spread, 0). | Spread?Поточний спред: best ask - best bid. Якщо bid/ask немає, показується 0. | End Date?Дата завершення ринку за даними Polymarket. | Volume ↓?Загальний торговий обсяг. | 24h Volume?Обсяг торгів за останні 24 години. | Liquidity?Поточна доступна ліквідність ринку. | Last Trade?Остання зафіксована ціна угоди. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1001 |
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?
|
Fed Rates / Economic Policy / Fed / Economy / Parlays | 0.976 | 0.025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.003 | 2026-03-18 | 229,241.237 | 1,531.778 | 58,196.532 | 0.976 |
| 1002 |
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?
|
Sports / NBA / Hide From New | 0.675 | 0.325 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | 2026-04-12 | 229,064.562 | 21.46 | 7,878.636 | 0.63 |
| 1003 |
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?
|
Sports / NFL / football / Super Bowl | 0.035 | 0.965 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.002 | 2027-03-31 | 228,848.761 | 10,994.764 | 139,850.921 | 0.036 |
| 1004 |
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?
|
Politics / Geopolitics / taiwan / China / Xi | 0.33 | 0.67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 2026-06-30 | 228,450.614 | 2,934.668 | 15,073.298 | 0.33 |
| 1005 |
Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?
|
Politics / Trump / Minnesota Unrest | 0.05 | 0.95 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 2026-06-30 | 228,187.989 | 63.15 | 13,491.748 | 0.05 |
| 1006 |
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
|
Culture / Politics / Tweet Markets | 0.001 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2026-03-06 | 228,096.214 | 106,564.49 | 54,512.825 | 0.001 |
| 1007 |
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?
|
Elections / Global Elections / World / France / Politics | 0.002 | 0.999 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2027-04-30 | 227,969.41 | 7,464.258 | 57,129.913 | 0.002 |
| 1008 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
|
Bitcoin / Yearly / Hit Price / Crypto Prices / Crypto | 0.595 | 0.405 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.005 | 0.01 | 2027-01-01 | 227,461.365 | 6,123.195 | 24,816.779 | 0.6 |
| 1009 |
Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election?
|
Elections / Global Elections / World / France / Politics | 0.002 | 0.999 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2027-04-30 | 227,325.494 | 5,498.865 | 66,343.372 | 0.001 |
| 1010 |
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?
|
Jerome Powell / Macro Indicators / Economy / Politics / Economic Policy | 0.28 | 0.72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.035 | 0.04 | 2026-12-31 | 227,223.244 | 2,960.79 | 15,528.554 | 0.26 |
| 1011 |
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?
|
Ethereum / Crypto Prices / Hit Price / Crypto / Yearly | 0.046 | 0.954 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.004 | 2027-01-01 | 227,176.256 | 660.22 | 128,099.231 | 0.044 |
| 1012 |
Erdoğan out by end of 2026?
|
Geopolitics / Turkey / Politics / World / Earn 4% | 0.135 | 0.865 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.02 | 0.01 | 2026-12-31 | 226,690.067 | 15,427.18 | 9,966.603 | 0.13 |
| 1013 |
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March?
|
Bitcoin / Monthly / Hit Price / Crypto / Crypto Prices | 0.01 | 0.99 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.002 | 2026-04-01 | 226,130.777 | 65,132.313 | 110,507.699 | 0.012 |
| 1014 |
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
|
Weather / Culture / Science / Climate & Science / Natural Disasters | 0.185 | 0.815 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 2026-06-30 | 225,999.598 | 70.261 | 15,632.857 | 0.18 |
| 1015 |
New COVID variant of concern before 2027?
|
World / Pandemics / Climate & Science | 0.185 | 0.815 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | 2026-12-31 | 225,371.472 | 18.07 | 5,426.072 | 0.17 |
| 1016 |
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after March 2026 meeting?
|
Economy / World / Japan / Economic Policy / Global Rates | 0.006 | 0.994 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-03-19 | 225,038.08 | 33,574.662 | 29,841.172 | 0.006 |
| 1017 |
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?
|
Finance / Crypto / Bitcoin / Commodities / SPX | 0.17 | 0.83 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 2026-12-31 | 224,516.243 | 3,134.411 | 37,324.397 | 0.18 |
| 1018 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
|
Politics / Middle East / Israel / Geopolitics / Elections | 0.625 | 0.375 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 2026-12-31 | 223,507.61 | 7,119.611 | 18,634.666 | 0.63 |
| 1019 |
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
|
Sports / NFL / football / Super Bowl | 0.054 | 0.946 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.002 | 2027-03-31 | 223,359.817 | 6,992.855 | 426,032.364 | 0.059 |
| 1020 |
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?
|
Politics / Trump / Jerome Powell / Fed Rates / Fed | 0.027 | 0.973 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.005 | 0.002 | 2026-06-30 | 223,098.068 | 1,196.779 | 14,533.224 | 0.028 |
| 1021 |
Weed rescheduled by March 31?
|
Politics / Trump / Culture / Cannabis / Marijuana | 0.018 | 0.983 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-03-31 | 223,062.777 | 2,210.252 | 21,130.808 | 0.021 |
| 1022 |
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?
|
EPL / Soccer / Sports / man united | 0.66 | 0.34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | 2026-12-31 | 222,869.388 | 1,158.55 | 6,182.607 | 0.65 |
| 1023 |
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
|
COMEX Silver Futures / Commodities / Hide From New / Silver / Finance | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 2026-06-30 | 222,600.617 | 7,075.446 | 17,609.046 | 0.19 |
| 1024 |
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
|
Iran / World / Politics / Middle East / Geopolitics | 0.001 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.001 | 0 | 2026-12-31 | 222,344.897 | 134,000.031 | 27,317.244 | 0.002 |
| 1025 |
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
|
Elections / Politics / Primaries / primary elections / Governor Primary | 0.1 | 0.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 2026-08-18 | 222,302.675 | 1,207.758 | 23,694.798 | 0.11 |
| 1026 |
Will FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?
|
Sports / Games / Soccer / Copa Del Rey | 0.001 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.035 | 0 | 2026-03-03 | 221,673.304 | 12,458.487 | 118,459.814 | 0.17 |
| 1027 |
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on IPO day?
|
Tech / Big Tech / Elon Musk / SpaceX / IPOs | 0.013 | 0.987 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.002 | 2027-12-31 | 221,636.501 | 744.131 | 16,589.618 | 0.013 |
| 1028 |
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?
|
Politics / Global Elections / World Elections / France / World | 0.59 | 0.41 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | - | 221,449.912 | 4,685.021 | 10,921.559 | 0.61 |
| 1029 |
Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?
|
NBA / Basketball / Sports / Hide From New | 0.14 | 0.86 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.06 | 2026-04-12 | 221,255.539 | 37.02 | 1,686.021 | 0.12 |
| 1030 |
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
|
Culture / Politics / Tweet Markets | 0.001 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.001 | 0 | 2026-03-06 | 221,138.716 | 95,276.191 | 71,070.287 | 0.001 |
| 1031 |
SBF released from custody in 2026?
|
ftx / Sam Bankman-Fried / Trump / Politics / Crypto | 0.125 | 0.875 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 2026-12-31 | 221,096.146 | 33,998.147 | 145,185.13 | 0.13 |
| 1032 |
Will Lê Hoài Trung be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?
|
Vietnam / Elections / Global Elections / World / Politics | 0.002 | 0.999 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-01-25 | 220,702.816 | 8 | 20,235.019 | 0.001 |
| 1033 |
EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?
|
Crypto / EdgeX / Pre-Market / Token Sales / fdv | 0.075 | 0.925 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.002 | 2027-01-01 | 220,635.11 | 1,430.548 | 23,637.632 | 0.076 |
| 1034 |
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
|
AI / Tech / Big Tech / Economy / DeepSeek | 0.005 | 0.995 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.002 | 2026-06-30 | 220,341.142 | 12,311.333 | 38,963.341 | 0.004 |
| 1035 |
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?
|
Trump / Politics / Venezuela / Geopolitics | 0.215 | 0.785 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 2026-03-31 | 220,129.683 | 1,583.43 | 10,766.44 | 0.21 |
| 1036 |
Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?
|
Soccer / Sports / EPL | 0.575 | 0.425 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.17 | 0.028 | 2026-05-27 | 219,603.895 | 142,584.918 | 4,598.239 | 0.426 |
| 1037 |
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship?
|
Sports / NFL / football / Super Bowl | 0.037 | 0.963 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.002 | 0.001 | 2027-03-31 | 219,196.001 | 12,336.897 | 125,048.639 | 0.038 |
| 1038 |
Will Jeon Hyun-heui win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
|
Politics / World / Elections / South Korea / Global Elections | 0.003 | 0.998 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-06-03 | 219,072.615 | 46.11 | 17,255.972 | 0.002 |
| 1039 |
Ethereum all time high by June 30, 2026?
|
Crypto Prices / Ethereum / Crypto / ATH | 0.045 | 0.955 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.004 | 2026-07-01 | 218,491.899 | 3,070.378 | 49,389.411 | 0.047 |
| 1040 |
Ukraine election called by March 31, 2026?
|
World / Geopolitics / Ukraine / Politics / Foreign Policy | 0.029 | 0.971 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.008 | 2025-12-31 | 217,750.756 | 1,838.365 | 13,907.663 | 0.026 |
| 1041 |
Will South Africa win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?
|
Sports / Cricket / T20 / International Cricket | 0.275 | 0.725 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 2026-03-08 | 216,798.692 | 16,233.102 | 27,261.532 | 0.27 |
| 1042 |
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
|
Culture / Politics / Tweet Markets | 0.002 | 0.998 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.002 | 2026-03-06 | 216,374.859 | 52,729.221 | 40,886.206 | 0.003 |
| 1043 |
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
|
Elections / Global Elections / World / France / Politics | 0.105 | 0.895 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 2027-04-30 | 215,955.806 | 319.107 | 47,288.421 | 0.1 |
| 1044 |
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
|
AI / Tech / Big Tech / Economy / DeepSeek | 0.14 | 0.86 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.008 | 2026-06-30 | 215,833.928 | 2,277.121 | 26,109.267 | 0.136 |
| 1045 |
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
|
Culture / Politics / Tweet Markets | 0.004 | 0.997 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-03-06 | 215,761.564 | 55,783.465 | 48,300.947 | 0.002 |
| 1046 |
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?
|
Sports / NFL / football / Super Bowl | 0.033 | 0.968 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.001 | 0.001 | 2027-03-31 | 215,607.403 | 15,917.053 | 106,487.443 | 0.033 |
| 1047 |
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?
|
Science / Culture / Global Temp / Weather / Climate & Science | 0.031 | 0.969 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.008 | 2026-12-31 | 215,399.098 | 1,174.87 | 11,810.313 | 0.028 |
| 1048 |
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
|
Awards / Politics / Geopolitics / World | 0.005 | 0.995 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.002 | 2026-10-10 | 215,363.651 | 94,393.52 | 76,688.107 | 0.005 |
| 1049 |
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
|
Awards / Politics / Geopolitics / World | 0.006 | 0.994 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-10-10 | 214,853.774 | 315.006 | 58,934.601 | 0.006 |
| 1050 |
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?
|
AI / IPO / Tech / Big Tech / anthropic | 0.011 | 0.989 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.004 | 2026-06-30 | 214,525.147 | 410.585 | 8,607.852 | 0.012 |
| 1051 |
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
|
Trump / Politics / clinton / Epstein / Elon Musk | 0.12 | 0.88 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 2026-06-30 | 213,761.853 | 4,493.366 | 13,438.173 | 0.12 |
| 1052 |
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
|
Culture / Politics / Tweet Markets | 0.003 | 0.998 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-03-06 | 213,586.833 | 49,900.126 | 37,456.095 | 0.003 |
| 1053 |
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
|
AI / Tech / Big Tech / Economy / DeepSeek | 0.005 | 0.995 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.004 | 2026-06-30 | 213,586.257 | 6,033.958 | 55,159.451 | 0.002 |
| 1054 |
Will Phạm Thị Thanh Trà be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?
|
Vietnam / Elections / Global Elections / World / Politics | 0.001 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2026-01-25 | 212,404.71 | - | 28,056.157 | 0.001 |
| 1055 |
Kristi Noem out by March 31?
|
Trump / Politics | 0.135 | 0.865 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 2026-03-31 | 211,477.344 | 12,518.789 | 7,810.052 | 0.14 |
| 1056 |
Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
|
Culture / Awards / Movies / Oscars | 0.968 | 0.033 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-03-15 | 210,872.564 | 12,113.658 | 31,582.098 | 0.968 |
| 1057 |
Freddie Mac IPO before 2027?
|
IPOs / Business / Big Tech / Tech / Finance | 0.225 | 0.775 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 2026-12-31 | 210,832.168 | - | 4,009.953 | 0.22 |
| 1058 |
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?
|
Finance / Crypto / Bitcoin / Commodities / SPX | 0.735 | 0.265 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 2026-12-31 | 210,543.152 | 7,473.062 | 33,861.322 | 0.74 |
| 1059 |
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?
|
Elections / Global Elections / World / France / Politics | 0.023 | 0.977 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.004 | 2027-04-30 | 209,944.196 | 7,254.865 | 40,574.401 | 0.022 |
| 1060 |
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?
|
NBA / Basketball / Sports / Hide From New | 0.04 | 0.961 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.005 | 2026-04-12 | 209,349.042 | 117.868 | 2,534.951 | 0.038 |
| 1061 |
Will Claudia López win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
|
Politics / Global Elections / Elections / World / World Elections | 0.004 | 0.996 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-06-21 | 208,969.884 | 2,764.74 | 33,342.763 | 0.005 |
| 1062 |
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?
|
Tech / Big Tech / Elon Musk / IPO / SpaceX | 0.905 | 0.095 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 2027-12-31 | 208,937.004 | 564.924 | 19,831.866 | 0.9 |
| 1063 |
Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
|
Sports / Soccer / FIFA World Cup / world cup | 0.615 | 0.385 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | 2026-04-12 | 208,242.338 | 579.326 | 2,567.917 | 0.6 |
| 1064 |
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?
|
Tech / Big Tech / Elon Musk / SpaceX / IPOs | 0.005 | 0.995 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2027-12-31 | 208,097.555 | 229.857 | 14,592.029 | 0.005 |
| 1065 |
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?
|
Finance / IPOs / OpenAI / AI / Tech | 0.395 | 0.605 | 0 | 0 | -0.03 | -0.035 | 0.01 | 2027-12-31 | 208,024.381 | 136,307.232 | 1,046.596 | 0.4 |
| 1066 |
Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?
|
Elections / Global Elections / World / France / Politics | 0.017 | 0.984 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2027-04-30 | 207,828.273 | 286.26 | 39,098.265 | 0.016 |
| 1067 |
Will Hoffenheim win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?
|
Sports / Soccer / bundesliga | 0.004 | 0.997 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.003 | 2026-05-28 | 207,491.394 | 1.903 | 31,040.006 | 0.002 |
| 1068 |
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
|
Politics / Global Elections / Elections / World / World Elections | 0.33 | 0.67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 2026-06-21 | 207,383.325 | 5,809.886 | 22,471.677 | 0.34 |
| 1069 |
Will Park Hong-keun win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
|
Politics / World / Elections / South Korea / Global Elections | 0.002 | 0.999 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-06-03 | 207,291.416 | 28,060.806 | 32,325.449 | 0.001 |
| 1070 |
Will Kang Hoon-sik win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
|
Politics / World / Elections / South Korea / Global Elections | 0.002 | 0.999 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-06-03 | 206,504.349 | 39,427.128 | 38,152.844 | 0.001 |
| 1071 |
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by March 31?
|
World / Kupyansk / Geopolitics / Politics / putin | 0.012 | 0.988 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.002 | 2025-12-31 | 206,429.822 | 1,968.093 | 17,708.523 | 0.011 |
| 1072 |
AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?
|
Business / Tech / Finance / Big Tech | 0.026 | 0.974 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.007 | 2026-12-31 | 206,401.332 | 1,944.296 | 9,897.029 | 0.022 |
| 1073 |
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
|
Culture / Politics / Tweet Markets | 0.001 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2026-03-06 | 206,392.662 | 66,864.739 | 62,022.909 | 0.001 |
| 1074 |
No one announced as next James Bond?
|
Movies / Culture | 0.535 | 0.465 | 0 | 0 | -0.005 | +0.015 | 0.01 | 2026-06-30 | 205,938.235 | 3,438.353 | 3,886.963 | 0.53 |
| 1075 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 4?
|
Bitcoin / Crypto Prices / Weekly / Multi Strikes / Crypto | 0.13 | 0.87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 2026-03-04 | 205,645.407 | 137,728.116 | 33,826.196 | 0.15 |
| 1076 |
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $500B and $600B at market close on IPO day?
|
Tech / Big Tech / Elon Musk / SpaceX / IPOs | 0.004 | 0.996 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.002 | 2027-12-31 | 205,473.324 | 374.667 | 19,921.75 | 0.005 |
| 1077 |
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?
|
Trump / Fed / Politics | 0.34 | 0.66 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.005 | 0.02 | 2026-05-15 | 204,528.469 | 486.048 | 6,856.161 | 0.37 |
| 1078 |
Will Natthaphong Ruengpanyawut be the next prime minister of Thailand?
|
Politics / World / Thailand-Cambodia / Elections / world affairs | 0.012 | 0.988 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 2026-12-31 | 204,306.139 | 156.269 | 8,404.559 | 0.013 |
| 1079 |
Penguin listed on Binance by March 31?
|
Crypto / binance / Penguin | 0.026 | 0.974 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.002 | 2026-04-01 | 204,293.6 | 941.06 | 4,719.861 | 0.025 |
| 1080 |
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship?
|
Sports / NFL / football / Super Bowl | 0.019 | 0.981 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2027-03-31 | 204,147.792 | 4,888.939 | 423,376.327 | 0.019 |
| 1081 |
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
|
World Elections / Elections / Global Elections / putin / russia | 0.051 | 0.949 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-09-30 | 203,630.861 | 1,740.969 | 25,397.306 | 0.052 |
| 1082 |
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?
|
Tech / IPOs / Big Tech / AI / Finance | 0.035 | 0.965 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.005 | - | 203,091.992 | 16.75 | 16,368.199 | 0.033 |
| 1083 |
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
|
Israel / World / Geopolitics / indonesia / Middle East | 0.182 | 0.818 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.145 | 2026-06-30 | 202,806.702 | 52.48 | 2,205.819 | 0.142 |
| 1084 |
Will the New York Knicks win more than 53.5 regular season games in 2025–26?
|
Sports / NBA | 0.415 | 0.585 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.035 | 0.11 | 2026-04-12 | 202,632.698 | 152.21 | 634.174 | 0.48 |
| 1085 |
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?
|
Climate & Science / Earthquakes / Weather / Natural Disasters / Science | 0.415 | 0.585 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | 2026-12-31 | 201,585.035 | 26 | 4,825.276 | 0.41 |
| 1086 |
Will Strategy (MicroStrategy) (MSTR) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?
|
Finance / Indicies / Big Tech / Tech / S&P 500 | 0.013 | 0.987 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.002 | 2026-03-31 | 201,400.956 | 185.28 | 12,062.587 | 0.02 |
| 1087 |
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
|
Politics / World / Elections / South Korea / Global Elections | 0.78 | 0.22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 2026-06-03 | 201,179.667 | 304.505 | 14,891.674 | 0.78 |
| 1088 |
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
|
Tech / Business / Big Tech / Apple | 0.665 | 0.335 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | 2026-12-31 | 201,148.732 | 308.598 | 11,214.179 | 0.69 |
| 1089 |
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?
|
Music / Awards / Culture | 0.015 | 0.986 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-05-16 | 201,025.274 | 3,646.228 | 34,030.975 | 0.015 |
| 1090 |
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2026 meeting?
|
Economy / World / Japan / Economic Policy / Global Rates | 0.007 | 0.993 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-03-19 | 200,914.43 | 37,194.526 | 11,637.437 | 0.007 |
| 1091 |
Will Japan win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?
|
LMB / WBC / Sports / KBO / baseball | 0.22 | 0.78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 2026-03-17 | 200,656.568 | 75,853.413 | 32,173.794 | 0.22 |
| 1092 |
Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?
|
Earnings / Equities / Finance / BYND / Hide From New | 0.46 | 0.54 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.08 | 2026-02-25 | 200,559.506 | 723.77 | 777.9 | 0.5 |
| 1093 |
Will Connie Chan receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?
|
Elections / Trump / Politics / Primaries | 0.249 | 0.75 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.009 | 2026-06-02 | 200,046.087 | 435.89 | 3,110.747 | 0.224 |
| 1094 |
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?
|
Science / Culture / Global Temp / Weather / Climate & Science | 0.28 | 0.72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 2026-12-31 | 199,084.361 | 197.342 | 11,958.26 | 0.29 |
| 1095 |
Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?
|
Crypto / Pre-Market / Gensyn / fdv | 0.175 | 0.825 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 2027-01-01 | 198,977.531 | 10 | 17,787.069 | 0.17 |
| 1096 |
Will Ryan Coogler win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
|
Culture / Oscars / Movies / Awards | 0.061 | 0.939 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.003 | 0.005 | 2026-03-15 | 198,011.711 | 9,326.887 | 14,747.362 | 0.063 |
| 1097 |
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?
|
Bitcoin / Yearly / Hit Price / Crypto Prices / Crypto | 0.065 | 0.935 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 2027-01-01 | 197,813.714 | 16 | 24,512.868 | 0.06 |
| 1098 |
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026?
|
Ethereum / Crypto Prices / Hit Price / Crypto / Yearly | 0.09 | 0.91 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 2027-01-01 | 197,694.145 | 30.14 | 50,410.32 | 0.11 |
| 1099 |
Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?
|
Politics / Tech / Big Tech / Warner Bros | 0.021 | 0.979 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.007 | - | 197,433.55 | 2,058.156 | 13,326.538 | 0.02 |
| 1100 |
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?
|
World / Politics / Middle East / Iran / Israel | 0.23 | 0.77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 2026-03-31 | 197,349.833 | 186,894.946 | 16,307.34 | 0.21 |