Active Polymarket Markets
Усі активні ринки з локальної бази, відсортовані за загальним торговим обсягом (`volume`) у спадному порядку.
22,484 markets
Prices last updated: 2026-03-04 01:28 UTC
| #?Позиція ринку в поточному сортуванні. | Market?Текст питання ринку та пов'язана подія. | Categories?Нормалізовані категорії події: category, subcategory і tags. | Yes?Поточна implied probability для outcome Yes. | No?Поточна implied probability для outcome No. | 2m Change?Зміна midpoint-ціни відносно snapshot, найближчого до точки 2 хвилини тому, зменшена на поточний спред: sign(delta) * max(|delta| - spread, 0). | 10m Change?Зміна midpoint-ціни відносно snapshot, найближчого до точки 10 хвилин тому, зменшена на поточний спред: sign(delta) * max(|delta| - spread, 0). | 1h Change?Зміна midpoint-ціни відносно snapshot, найближчого до точки 1 годину тому, зменшена на поточний спред: sign(delta) * max(|delta| - spread, 0). | 5h Change?Зміна midpoint-ціни відносно snapshot, найближчого до точки 5 годин тому, зменшена на поточний спред: sign(delta) * max(|delta| - spread, 0). | Spread?Поточний спред: best ask - best bid. Якщо bid/ask немає, показується 0. | End Date?Дата завершення ринку за даними Polymarket. | Volume ↑?Загальний торговий обсяг. | 24h Volume?Обсяг торгів за останні 24 години. | Liquidity?Поточна доступна ліквідність ринку. | Last Trade?Остання зафіксована ціна угоди. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22401 |
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?
|
Sports / NBA / NBA Finals / Basketball / NBA Champion | 0.002 | 0.999 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-07-01 | 14,819,724.654 | 171,498.478 | 1,291,945.44 | 0.001 |
| 22402 |
Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2026 NBA Finals?
|
Sports / NBA / NBA Finals / Basketball / NBA Champion | 0.001 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2026-07-01 | 15,015,645.334 | 17,495.21 | 1,246,024.366 | 0.001 |
| 22403 |
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
|
Politics / US Election / Elections / World Elections / Global Elections | 0.006 | 0.994 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.001 | 0.001 | 2028-11-07 | 15,122,726.628 | 209,902.631 | 292,211.037 | 0.006 |
| 22404 |
Will Athletic Bilbao win the 2025–26 La Liga?
|
Sports / Soccer / La Liga | 0.002 | 0.999 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-05-30 | 16,325,990.778 | 41,939.17 | 385,714.382 | 0.002 |
| 22405 |
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
|
World Elections / Global Elections / US Election / Elections / Politics | 0.009 | 0.991 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2028-11-07 | 16,422,079.901 | 16,729.823 | 827,331.898 | 0.009 |
| 22406 |
Will Brighton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
|
Sports / Soccer / EPL | 0.001 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2026-05-27 | 16,471,713.65 | 171.05 | 1,624,840.238 | 0.001 |
| 22407 |
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
|
Politics / US Election / Elections / World Elections / Global Elections | 0.009 | 0.992 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2028-11-07 | 16,998,300.868 | 274,283.602 | 910,782.516 | 0.008 |
| 22408 |
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
|
World Elections / Global Elections / US Election / Elections / Politics | 0.015 | 0.985 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.002 | 2028-11-07 | 17,135,253.163 | 49,046.672 | 1,275,723.112 | 0.014 |
| 22409 |
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
|
Sports / Soccer / EPL | 0.001 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2026-05-27 | 17,135,374.038 | 420,530.876 | 757,978.826 | 0.001 |
| 22410 |
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
World Elections / Global Elections / Elections / Politics / US Election | 0.013 | 0.988 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2028-11-07 | 17,389,119.715 | 29,818.333 | 728,948.209 | 0.013 |
| 22411 |
Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?
|
Sports / NBA / NBA Finals / Basketball / NBA Champion | 0.002 | 0.999 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-07-01 | 17,435,590.383 | 226,309.139 | 1,235,914.972 | 0.001 |
| 22412 |
Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?
|
Sports / NBA / NBA Finals / Basketball / NBA Champion | 0.002 | 0.999 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-07-01 | 17,669,754.506 | 187,273.801 | 1,343,585.843 | 0.002 |
| 22413 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
|
Israel / Politics / World / Middle East / Geopolitics | 0.175 | 0.825 | 0 | 0 | +0.006 | +0.016 | 0.001 | 2026-03-31 | 17,859,357.925 | 2,328,447.768 | 434,593.436 | 0.175 |
| 22414 |
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
World Elections / Global Elections / Elections / Politics / US Election | 0.011 | 0.99 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2028-11-07 | 17,862,569.664 | 91,187.964 | 1,132,633.562 | 0.01 |
| 22415 |
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?
|
Sports / Soccer / La Liga | 0.006 | 0.994 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-05-30 | 17,866,025.837 | 8,315,323.893 | 119,155.535 | 0.006 |
| 22416 |
Will Trump nominate David Zervos as the next Fed chair?
|
Jerome Powell / Politics / Trump Presidency / Trump / Fed Rates | 0.001 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2026-12-31 | 17,922,566.565 | 3,222 | 2,920,518.177 | 0.001 |
| 22417 |
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
|
Politics / US Election / Elections / World Elections / Global Elections | 0.009 | 0.991 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2028-11-07 | 17,945,451.557 | 63,537.007 | 570,631.786 | 0.009 |
| 22418 |
Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?
|
Sports / NBA / NBA Finals / Basketball / NBA Champion | 0.002 | 0.999 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-07-01 | 17,977,289.659 | 149,586.834 | 1,369,078.004 | 0.001 |
| 22419 |
Will Everton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
|
Sports / Soccer / EPL | 0.001 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2026-05-27 | 18,027,910.596 | 38.12 | 1,787,485.318 | 0.001 |
| 22420 |
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
|
Politics / US Election / Elections / World Elections / Global Elections | 0.014 | 0.986 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.002 | 2028-11-07 | 18,329,445.71 | 29,090.593 | 649,101.185 | 0.013 |
| 22421 |
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
World Elections / Global Elections / Elections / Politics / US Election | 0.009 | 0.991 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2028-11-07 | 18,333,529.708 | 104,429.976 | 784,234.26 | 0.009 |
| 22422 |
Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?
|
Soccer / Champions League / Sports / UCL | 0.001 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2026-05-31 | 18,557,131.247 | 2,180.73 | 783,275.894 | 0.001 |
| 22423 |
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
|
Politics / US Election / Elections / World Elections / Global Elections | 0.011 | 0.99 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2028-11-07 | 18,697,121.098 | 38,378.998 | 977,946.524 | 0.01 |
| 22424 |
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
|
Politics / US Election / Elections / World Elections / Global Elections | 0.011 | 0.99 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2028-11-07 | 20,213,717.885 | 20,731.519 | 390,044.341 | 0.01 |
| 22425 |
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
World Elections / Global Elections / Elections / Politics / US Election | 0.011 | 0.989 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2028-11-07 | 20,218,824.506 | 37,757.981 | 1,562,426.241 | 0.011 |
| 22426 |
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
|
World Elections / Global Elections / US Election / Elections / Politics | 0.013 | 0.987 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.002 | 2028-11-07 | 20,775,095.882 | 1,077,833.176 | 277,146.646 | 0.012 |
| 22427 |
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
|
Politics / US Election / Elections / World Elections / Global Elections | 0.009 | 0.992 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2028-11-07 | 20,776,708.765 | 68,264.879 | 436,979.027 | 0.008 |
| 22428 |
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
|
Politics / US Election / Elections / World Elections / Global Elections | 0.011 | 0.99 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2028-11-07 | 20,813,361.097 | 97,457.414 | 673,782.158 | 0.01 |
| 22429 |
Will Trump nominate Barron Trump as the next Fed chair?
|
Jerome Powell / Politics / Trump Presidency / Trump / Fed Rates | 0.001 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2026-12-31 | 20,905,060.963 | 2,000 | 3,357,374.373 | 0.001 |
| 22430 |
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?
|
Sports / NBA / NBA Finals / Basketball / NBA Champion | 0.002 | 0.999 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-07-01 | 21,024,914.587 | 216,097.005 | 1,258,754.636 | 0.001 |
| 22431 |
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?
|
Jerome Powell / Politics / Trump Presidency / Trump / Fed Rates | 0.006 | 0.994 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-12-31 | 21,036,182.463 | 197,919.183 | 218,199.845 | 0.008 |
| 22432 |
Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?
|
Jerome Powell / Politics / Trump Presidency / Trump / Fed Rates | 0.001 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2026-12-31 | 21,152,894.069 | 2,000 | 3,226,584.083 | 0.001 |
| 22433 |
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
World Elections / Global Elections / Elections / Politics / US Election | 0.009 | 0.991 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2028-11-07 | 21,196,471.658 | 32,410.039 | 1,138,652.618 | 0.009 |
| 22434 |
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?
|
Jerome Powell / Politics / Trump Presidency / Trump / Fed Rates | 0.005 | 0.995 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-12-31 | 21,222,368.252 | 163,623.48 | 334,729.541 | 0.005 |
| 22435 |
Will Trump nominate Janet Yellen as the next Fed chair?
|
Jerome Powell / Politics / Trump Presidency / Trump / Fed Rates | 0.001 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2026-12-31 | 21,323,692.07 | 1,000 | 3,081,066.43 | 0.001 |
| 22436 |
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
|
World Elections / Global Elections / US Election / Elections / Politics | 0.009 | 0.991 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2028-11-07 | 21,823,894.02 | 80,227.163 | 900,155.601 | 0.009 |
| 22437 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
|
Geopolitics / Foreign Policy / Trump Presidency / World / Ukraine | 0.042 | 0.959 | 0 | 0 | +0.001 | +0.002 | 0.001 | 2026-03-31 | 21,850,744.295 | 228,406.463 | 144,624.035 | 0.04 |
| 22438 |
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
|
Soccer / Sports / FIFA World Cup / 2026 FIFA World Cup / Hide From New | 0.002 | 0.999 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-07-20 | 22,068,889.889 | 94,934.872 | 1,405,779.019 | 0.002 |
| 22439 |
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
|
World Elections / Global Elections / US Election / Elections / Politics | 0.015 | 0.985 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2028-11-07 | 22,499,800.66 | 94,178.408 | 612,600.081 | 0.016 |
| 22440 |
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?
|
Sports / NBA / NBA Finals / Basketball / NBA Champion | 0.006 | 0.994 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-07-01 | 22,574,863.176 | 1,361,535.48 | 384,142.151 | 0.006 |
| 22441 |
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
|
Politics / US Election / Elections / World Elections / Global Elections | 0.009 | 0.992 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2028-11-07 | 22,907,364.639 | 818,260.382 | 783,509.193 | 0.008 |
| 22442 |
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
World Elections / Global Elections / Elections / Politics / US Election | 0.009 | 0.991 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2028-11-07 | 23,474,081.36 | 49,590.627 | 816,855.87 | 0.009 |
| 22443 |
Will Trump nominate himself as the next Fed chair?
|
Jerome Powell / Politics / Trump Presidency / Trump / Fed Rates | 0.001 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2026-12-31 | 23,577,646.036 | 1,000 | 2,973,917.69 | 0.001 |
| 22444 |
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?
|
Jerome Powell / Politics / Trump Presidency / Trump / Fed Rates | 0.004 | 0.996 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-12-31 | 23,677,791.159 | 67,515.655 | 279,072.439 | 0.004 |
| 22445 |
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
|
Trump-Machado / Venezuela / Trump / Politics / Geopolitics | 0.002 | 0.999 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-12-31 | 24,096,422.461 | 45,472.224 | 86,619.115 | 0.001 |
| 22446 |
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
World Elections / Global Elections / Elections / Politics / US Election | 0.009 | 0.992 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2028-11-07 | 24,321,092.796 | 91,300.695 | 2,128,890.824 | 0.008 |
| 22447 |
Will Trump nominate Bill Pulte as the next Fed chair?
|
Jerome Powell / Politics / Trump Presidency / Trump / Fed Rates | 0.001 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2026-12-31 | 24,534,483.308 | 2,000 | 2,352,954.094 | 0.001 |
| 22448 |
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
|
World Elections / Global Elections / US Election / Elections / Politics | 0.011 | 0.99 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2028-11-07 | 24,644,348.889 | 26,096.816 | 427,158.743 | 0.01 |
| 22449 |
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
World Elections / Global Elections / Elections / Politics / US Election | 0.009 | 0.992 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2028-11-07 | 24,856,057.373 | 283,736.825 | 871,842.254 | 0.008 |
| 22450 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
|
Economy / Fed Rates / Jerome Powell / Economic Policy / Politics | 0.017 | 0.984 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.001 | 0.001 | 2026-03-18 | 25,001,959.752 | 594,726.518 | 698,400.056 | 0.016 |
| 22451 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
|
Economy / Fed Rates / Jerome Powell / Economic Policy / Politics | 0.972 | 0.029 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-03-18 | 25,612,563.092 | 814,013.563 | 626,195.027 | 0.971 |
| 22452 |
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
World Elections / Global Elections / Elections / Politics / US Election | 0.009 | 0.991 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2028-11-07 | 25,800,340.891 | 68,427.223 | 1,434,087.731 | 0.009 |
| 22453 |
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
|
Politics / US Election / Elections / World Elections / Global Elections | 0.009 | 0.992 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2028-11-07 | 25,836,227.165 | 152,662.266 | 740,101.16 | 0.008 |
| 22454 |
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
|
Jerome Powell / Politics / Trump Presidency / Trump / Fed Rates | 0.003 | 0.998 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-12-31 | 26,121,555.678 | 103,957.021 | 490,891.344 | 0.002 |
| 22455 |
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
World Elections / Global Elections / Elections / Politics / US Election | 0.009 | 0.991 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2028-11-07 | 27,659,766.703 | 85,726.182 | 1,077,602.153 | 0.009 |
| 22456 |
Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
|
Trump-Machado / Venezuela / Trump / Politics / Geopolitics | 0.001 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.001 | 0 | 2026-12-31 | 27,702,002.087 | 1,107,357.48 | 133,888.291 | 0.001 |
| 22457 |
Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?
|
Jerome Powell / Politics / Trump Presidency / Trump / Fed Rates | 0.001 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2026-12-31 | 27,874,348.845 | 4,071.14 | 575,416.237 | 0.001 |
| 22458 |
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
World Elections / Global Elections / Elections / Politics / US Election | 0.011 | 0.99 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2028-11-07 | 28,170,297.589 | 201,775.076 | 1,489,157.26 | 0.01 |
| 22459 |
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
|
World Elections / Global Elections / US Election / Elections / Politics | 0.009 | 0.991 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2028-11-07 | 28,369,660.115 | 27,874.882 | 405,092.425 | 0.009 |
| 22460 |
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
|
Denmark / Foreign Policy / Greenland / Politics / Trump | 0.115 | 0.885 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-12-31 | 29,111,782.004 | 43,085.386 | 300,474.787 | 0.116 |
| 22461 |
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
World Elections / Global Elections / Elections / Politics / US Election | 0.009 | 0.991 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2028-11-07 | 29,438,541.605 | 251,350.184 | 1,646,987.22 | 0.009 |
| 22462 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
World Elections / Global Elections / Elections / Politics / US Election | 0.013 | 0.988 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2028-11-07 | 30,506,615.517 | 208,287.406 | 1,651,064.515 | 0.013 |
| 22463 |
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
|
Jerome Powell / Politics / Trump Presidency / Trump / Fed Rates | 0.004 | 0.997 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-12-31 | 30,547,760.317 | 193,543.533 | 871,375.966 | 0.004 |
| 22464 |
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
World Elections / Global Elections / Elections / Politics / US Election | 0.009 | 0.992 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2028-11-07 | 30,922,844.927 | 2,537,906.42 | 1,555,075.412 | 0.008 |
| 22465 |
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
World Elections / Global Elections / Elections / Politics / US Election | 0.009 | 0.991 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2028-11-07 | 30,940,959.705 | 114,959.725 | 1,706,500.812 | 0.009 |
| 22466 |
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
World Elections / Global Elections / Elections / Politics / US Election | 0.009 | 0.992 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2028-11-07 | 31,508,920.247 | 331,446.237 | 1,313,600.347 | 0.008 |
| 22467 |
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
World Elections / Global Elections / Elections / Politics / US Election | 0.009 | 0.992 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2028-11-07 | 31,790,412.562 | 102,910.661 | 1,487,329.699 | 0.008 |
| 22468 |
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
|
Jerome Powell / Politics / Trump Presidency / Trump / Fed Rates | 0.003 | 0.998 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-12-31 | 32,592,925.422 | 177,853.815 | 976,260.483 | 0.003 |
| 22469 |
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?
|
Sports / NBA / NBA Finals / Basketball / NBA Champion | 0.002 | 0.999 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-07-01 | 32,736,464.909 | 217,695.822 | 1,236,989.913 | 0.002 |
| 22470 |
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
World Elections / Global Elections / Elections / Politics / US Election | 0.009 | 0.991 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2028-11-07 | 32,810,490.017 | 86,031.424 | 1,314,713.153 | 0.009 |
| 22471 |
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
World Elections / Global Elections / Elections / Politics / US Election | 0.009 | 0.991 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2028-11-07 | 32,856,384.898 | 196,035.996 | 522,747.016 | 0.009 |
| 22472 |
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
|
World Elections / Global Elections / US Election / Elections / Politics | 0.009 | 0.992 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2028-11-07 | 32,978,010.212 | 85,496.541 | 995,937.783 | 0.008 |
| 22473 |
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
|
World Elections / Global Elections / US Election / Elections / Politics | 0.009 | 0.992 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2028-11-07 | 33,467,004.492 | 92,436.03 | 520,416.79 | 0.008 |
| 22474 |
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
World Elections / Global Elections / Elections / Politics / US Election | 0.009 | 0.992 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2028-11-07 | 36,491,618.749 | 96,181.714 | 1,986,421.733 | 0.008 |
| 22475 |
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
|
Culture / Parent For Derivative | 0.037 | 0.963 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-12-31 | 37,296,370.344 | 506,778.703 | 1,518,160.097 | 0.037 |
| 22476 |
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?
|
Jerome Powell / Politics / Trump Presidency / Trump / Fed Rates | 0.001 | 1 | -0.001 | -0.001 | -0.001 | -0.001 | 0 | 2026-12-31 | 38,725,347.996 | 32,850.215 | 1,269,890.63 | 0.001 |
| 22477 |
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
World Elections / Global Elections / Elections / Politics / US Election | 0.009 | 0.991 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2028-11-07 | 40,678,386.661 | 125,671.868 | 326,571.916 | 0.009 |
| 22478 |
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
|
Jerome Powell / Politics / Trump Presidency / Trump / Fed Rates | 0.933 | 0.067 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.002 | 2026-12-31 | 45,477,937.376 | 361,325.473 | 307,802.956 | 0.932 |
| 22479 |
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
|
Sports / NBA / NBA Finals / Basketball / NBA Champion | 0.001 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2026-07-01 | 62,085,866.812 | 2,072,602.71 | 502,410.593 | 0.001 |
| 22480 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
|
Politics / Middle East / Geopolitics / World / Iran | 1 | 0.001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2026-03-31 | 62,878,476.472 | 4,204,605.365 | 1,328,598.647 | 0.999 |
| 22481 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
|
Economy / Fed Rates / Jerome Powell / Economic Policy / Politics | 0.006 | 0.994 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-03-18 | 70,815,167.577 | 1,185,805.668 | 283,838.674 | 0.005 |
| 22482 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
|
Economy / Fed Rates / Jerome Powell / Economic Policy / Politics | 0.004 | 0.996 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.001 | 2026-03-18 | 81,242,203.971 | 1,511,496.671 | 2,473,070.073 | 0.005 |
| 22483 |
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
|
Jerome Powell / Politics / Trump Presidency / Trump / Fed Rates | 0.043 | 0.957 | 0 | +0.001 | +0.001 | +0.002 | 0.001 | 2026-12-31 | 104,718,044.545 | 1,137,923.487 | 970,388.077 | 0.042 |
| 22484 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
|
Geopolitics / Middle East / Iran / World / Politics | 1 | 0.001 | 0 | 0 | +0.001 | +0.001 | 0 | 2026-02-28 | 122,976,430.736 | 13,076,878.996 | 6,387,683.093 | 0.999 |